Democrat-Touted Pharos Poll Now Shows 2 Point Berg Lead


Desperate for positive polling numbers in North Dakota’s Senate race, Democrats have been touting some very sketchy polling conducted by North Dakota-based Pharos Research. There are a lot of very good reasons not to take the polling seriously, as I’ve written before.

But Democrats have cited it as it showed a lead for Heitkamp.

For what it’s worth, Steve Leuchtman (who is one of the partners behind Pharos) told me in an email today that their polling now shows Berg with a 2-point lead.

Here’s what he sent me:

FWIW, unreliable though we may be (and as I conceded to you, we spent several weeks finding our range), final poll, concluded yesterday, Berg 49-47.

The last polling posted on the Pharos website, which concluded October 28th, showed Heitkamp with a 2-point lead. Meaning this poll shows a 4-point swing to Berg in the closing days of the campaign.

To the extent that Pharos is reliable polling that is, and I don’t think it’s very reliable at all. But Democrats cited Pharos as reliable so, for what it’s worth, those are the latest numbers.

Update: Here’s the report:

ND Pharos Poll

Rob Port is the editor of In 2011 he was a finalist for the Watch Dog of the Year from the Sam Adams Alliance and winner of the Americans For Prosperity Award for Online Excellence. In 2013 the Washington Post named SAB one of the nation's top state-based political blogs, and named Rob one of the state's best political reporters.

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