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Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Washington Post/ABC News Poll Tremendously Skews Democrat Respondents

From Noel Sheppard in The American Thinker:

David Broder and Dan Balz wrote a rather lengthy, front-page story for the Washington Post this morning with the cautionary headline “Poll Shows Strong Shift Of Support to Democrats.” However, Broder and Balz chose not to share some key information from this poll with their readers, the most important of which being the political breakdown of those questioned. In fact, the meager percentage of Republican respondents to this survey should have led the Post to headline this article “Poll Shows Strong Shift Of Questions to Democrats!”

The article began: “Democrats have regained a commanding position going into the final weeks of the midterm-election campaigns, with support eroding for Republicans on Iraq, ethics and presidential leadership, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.”

Yet, nowhere did the authors let their readers know that 41 percent more Democrats were questioned for this survey than Republicans. That’s right. The breakdown was: 38 percent Democrats; 27 percent Republicans, and; 31 percent Independents. This was the largest skewing of Democrats to Republicans in a WaPo-ABC News poll since at least April. By contrast, in last month’s poll, the breakdown was 33 percent Democrats, 32 percent Republicans, and 30 percent Independents.

[...]

Forgive me, folks, but with four weeks to go before the midterm elections, it is absolutely shameful that any polling organization would do such a poor job of evenly distributing respondents by political affiliation.

Liberal media bias? What liberal media bias?

Indeed.  Read the whole thing.

Comments

I call these articles, “wishful thinking”.  They have little effect on how people actually vote, but feed the desires of the party faithful to actually win for once.

I’d look at Rasmussen for more objective, balanced numbers.  Naturally the Democrats complain that Rasmussen skews the results towards the Republicans, but it’s a fact that Rasmussen falls the closest to correct as any of the pollsters.  They were one of the few polls that were projecting a Bush victory in 2004, and were bang-on in the final popular vote.

Carrick on October 10, 2006 at 12:03 pm
Avatar for aNONOMISLY

I also like Rasmussen

aNONOMISLY on October 10, 2006 at 12:15 pm

The art of the political poll used as a political tool was perfected during the Clinton administration.

Every day they repeated a new poll saying that support for Clinton was climbing higher and higher.  What was unsaid was “You think that too, don’t YOU!”

So that constant barrage reinforced their own polls driving a man who never came close to majority in an national election up to very high numbers.

It was a full court press to gain a short term political objective.


What’s going to happen to US industry when the global warming extremists like John McCain double the price of electricity?  I would think all these factories will close and set up in countries where they aren’t scared of technology.


The Whistler's signature
The Whistler on October 10, 2006 at 02:45 pm

Any professional pollster will tell you that if you poll on the same issue too often, what you get is what people thought of the last poll, not anything real.


If you don’t know by now, don’t mess with it.

robert108 on October 10, 2006 at 04:48 pm

Or the way I would say it… the reporting influences their choices in polls (including whether they want to participate), but generally it has much less influence on how they vote.

Carrick on October 10, 2006 at 06:45 pm
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