The Domestic Consequences of a US Defeat in Iraq
By
robert108
on February 11, 2007 at 11:59 am
17 Comments
An opinion piece by robert108
Instead of focusing on the consequences of our retreating from Iraq to the Iraqis and the rest of the Middle East, let’s consider its effect on the United States:
Muslim advocacy groups have claimed that there are somewhere between 6 million to 8 million Muslims in the United States. It is probable that this number is inaccurate, and that there are fewer Muslims than that residing here. For the purposes of this discussion, let’s assume that there are only 1 million Muslims living in the US at this time.
Furthermore, although most sources claim that the percentage of Muslims who are radical Jihadists compose about 20% of the overall Muslim population, for the purposes of this discussion, we will assume that only 10% of the US Muslim population is dedicated to violent jihad against all infidels.
One other assumption: to use the Bell Curve analysis, then, we would also assume that there is another 10% of the US Muslim population that is completely loyal to the US and our way of life, and has not interest in imposing Islam on anyone else, no matter how dedicated they are to their religious beliefs.
So far, in this very conservative estimate, we have about 100,000 radical Jihadists here in the US, and another 100,000 Muslims who totally support the US as it is. That leaves 800,000 US Muslims who are “sitting on the fence”, in terms of who they support. Even though they might not advocate violence to impose Islam on the rest of us, they might be OK with a political or legal takeover. At best, they are ambivalent; while they aren’t into violent jihad, they might think that their way is best, and that the US would be better off if we all converted to Islam or if we had to live under Islamic law and customs.
In light of these numbers, what might be the consequences of a defeat for the US in the Middle East? If we end up withdrawing from Iraq due to being unable(or unwilling) to defeat the terrorists, which way might those 800,000 “fence sitters” be inclined to go? Wouldn’t it be reasonable to suppose that they might be influenced to become more radical? If the US appears to be unable to defeat Islamic terrorism, wouldn’t that encourage more participation in jihad among the “moderate” Muslim population?
Even though we have assumed that there are a population of 100,000 US Muslims that are completely loyal to America, as far as I know, there is no evidence that such a group exists. Logic would tell us that there must be some US Muslims who are immune to the call of violent jihad, but they are not making themselves known in any definite manner. There have been no antijihadist demonstrations here, and I question whether there are many instances where Muslims loyal to the US have actively turned in the violent ones in their midst.
It is also unnecessary to assume that the 80% who are “fence-sitters” will become violent jihadists and start making beheading videos, strapping bombs on children, and all the rest. They may choose to defeat us quietly, by becoming school board members, local politicians, policemen and policewomen, judges, members of Congress(Keith Ellison) and even President(Barack Hussein Obama?). Since the Consitution is now a “living document”, in the view of some Americans, and since it is no longer necessary to convene a Constitutional Convention to amend it in practice, the way is clear for a gradual political takeover by those who would like the US to be a Muslim country. We might even be told that “Affirmative Action” should apply to Muslims, thus guaranteeing them a quota in many govt institutions. I’m sure there are ACLU lawyers ready to draw up those briefs, should the need arise. The borders are open, and what is to stop an influx of Muslim immigrants, legal and otherwise? We have already set the precedent for such an invasion.
One more thought: If there is a political takeover of the US by radical Islam, what happens to those Muslims who are not sympathetic to the jihadists? Ultimately, won’t they be forced to join the killers to avoid being killed themselves?
Oh, yes; those numbers in the fourth paragraph of the article; multiply them by a factor of 3 or 4 to get a sense of the real problem.
What sort of America do we want?
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