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Friday, December 22, 2006

Scientific Consensus Can Be Wrong

letter to the editor of The American Thinker:

There are many, many instances of where Scientific Consensus has been wrong - including very recently. Off the top of my head I can think of the newly discovered cause of diabetes, (see here), which totally surprised the researchers themselves.

Also, the consensus view of the cause of peptic ulcers was nervous tension - remember warnings against “TYPE A Behavior”?  It was an uphill battle for the discoverers of the H. Pylori bacteria against the consensus view that the stomach is totally inhospitable to bacteria.  Now there are successful bacteriological treatments.

“Continental Drift” was totally against consensus.  Now it is accepted geological science.

Scientists accept that consensus views are at times overturned by new evidence and certainly are loath to limit the speech of even eccentric researchers since it is often these individuals who have historically discovered remarkable new truths.

Thus, scientific consensus means nothing until empirical facts are developed to support theories (or computer models) - clearly not the case with global warming,

Jerry Schmitt

Well said.  The mostly one-sided reporting on the “human caused global warming” myth has distorted the public discourse so far that it is good to be reminded that all they have is “scientific consensus”, which is about as worthwhile as a bucket of warm spit.

Comments

Here is another article detailing how consensus is often wrong.

likwidshoe on December 26, 2006 at 07:29 am
Avatar for robert108

Great article, likwid!  The more things change, the more they stay the same.  Malthus still lives on in the enviro extremist movement.

robert108 on December 26, 2006 at 08:28 am
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