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Tuesday, December 30, 2008


Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.

MOSCOW—For a decade, Russian academic Igor Panarin has been predicting the U.S. will fall apart in 2010. For most of that time, he admits, few took his argument—that an economic and moral collapse will trigger a civil war and the eventual breakup of the U.S.—very seriously. Now he’s found an eager audience: Russian state media.

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A polite and cheerful man with a buzz cut, Mr. Panarin insists he does not dislike Americans. But he warns that the outlook for them is dire.

“There’s a 55-45% chance right now that disintegration will occur,” he says. “One could rejoice in that process,” he adds, poker-faced. “But if we’re talking reasonably, it’s not the best scenario—for Russia.” Though Russia would become more powerful on the global stage, he says, its economy would suffer because it currently depends heavily on the dollar and on trade with the U.S.

Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar. Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will break into six pieces—with Alaska reverting to Russian control.

He based the forecast on classified data supplied to him by FAPSI analysts, he says. He predicts that economic, financial and demographic trends will provoke a political and social crisis in the U.S. When the going gets tough, he says, wealthier states will withhold funds from the federal government and effectively secede from the union. Social unrest up to and including a civil war will follow. The U.S. will then split along ethnic lines, and foreign powers will move in.

California will form the nucleus of what he calls “The Californian Republic,” and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of “The Texas Republic,” a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an “Atlantic America” that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls “The Central North American Republic.” Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia.

Sounds like a lot of crap to me, some of his predictions even appear silly, farfetched and ridiculous; but, I believe there is a chance our economy under Mahdi Obama will get a lot worse, maybe fall into near depression levels, as he imposes burdensome taxation on the so-called wealthy, which is really for the most part - business, middle class and we are without a doubt in a great moral crisis, with a hardening Left and Right on social, moral and spiritual issues. So, while I hope for better and America can surprise us with her ability to weather huge impacts on our economy; I do believe we are “a house divided” on political, economic, social, moral and spiritual issues that are not easy to heal and I see no signs that the Leftists now in power are all that interested in solving any of them; and by their policies will more than likely exacerbate them. This is their hour to impose a socialist agenda on America and to implement their more extreme social-moral agenda, they may try and moderate their actions, making the bitter socialist pill easier to swallow, but not by much.

I do believe there is a risk, without wanting to sound like chicken little that, we at least can fall from economic and world power because we are at a crisis point with Mahdi Obama and a Democrat Controlled Congress and it might not take much to tip us towards international irrelevance.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123051100709638419.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

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