Nicaragua going Red
Original article here.
MANAGUA: Daniel Ortega, who fought the American-backed contras in a bloody war in the 1980s, held a strong lead over four other Nicaraguan presidential candidates in preliminary results here, officials said early Monday.
With 15 percent of polling stations reporting, Ortega had 40 percent, versus 33 percent for his Harvard-educated rival Eduardo Montealegre of the Nicaraguan Liberal Alliance.
Trailing behind were a Sandinista dissident Edmundo Jarquín; the governing party's candidate, Jose Rizo; and a former contra rebel, Eden Pastora.
If Ortega, a former Marxist revolutionary, does not squeeze out a first- round victory and is forced into a runoff next month, analysts expect him to lose, because the country's strong anti-Ortega opposition would unite against him.
But this time, he has been ahead in polls throughout the campaign and stands to benefit from a change in election rules pushed through by his party, the Sandinista National Liberation Front, that lowered the threshold for victory. This time, a candidate needs 35 percent of the vote and a five-percentage-point lead over the nearest opponent. Previously, candidates needed 40 percent of the vote to gain the presidency.
