Now Is It A Civil War?
From the January 2007 NIE report:
The Intellignece Community judges that the term “civi war” does not adequately capture the complexity of the conflict in Iraq, which includes extensive Shia-on-Shia violence, al-Qa’ida and Sunni insurgent attacks on Coalition forces,and widespread criminally motivated violence. Nonetheless, the term “civil war” accurately describes key elements of the Iraqi conflict, including the hardening of ethno-sectarian identities, a sea change in the character of the violence, ethno-sectarian mobilization, and population displacements.
While the report discusses the dangers of rapid withdrawal it also points to three areas where, if implemented, could reverse the current course in Iraq:
1. Sunni acceptance of the current government structure as well as Iraqi federalism
2. The Shia and Kurds would have to cede to the involvement of Sunnis in Iraqi federalism.
3. working within the communities and with neighborhood watch groups to take control of their communities and start the reconciliation and rebuilding process.
These seem overwhelmingly difficult to accomplish considering the intransigency of the parties. The question is: Is this possible and if it is, how can it be accomplished in light of the civil war and ongoing violence?
