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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Another Republican Bites the Dust

Tomorrow morning the Republicans will begin the fingerpointing after once again losing another Republican House seat to the Democrats.

Another Democrat will be seated in the House of Representatives defeating a republican who was trying to replace Senator Wicker after his appointment to the Senate after Lott quit.

Childers (D)took out Davis (R) even after the RNC put $1.3 million and a weekend visit by Vice-President Cheney in a republican district.

This comes on the heals of Democrats taking a seat in the 1st District in Louisiana earlier this month that had been held by Republicans for over thirty years.

And then of course we all remember the Dems taking over Denny Hastert’s seat a few months ago. 

So far the Dems are 3 for 3 in special elections taking out the republicans in traditional republican strongholds. 

The RNC will be in full lockdown mode in the morning trying to figure out what the hell is happening and how they will survive the fall elections. When you can’t win in your own stronghold districts.......yikes.....

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Yeah! Louisiana!

On May 3 a special election was held to determine (Bobby) Jindal’s replacement. Steve Scalise was elected with 75% of the vote.

-wiki

In the May 3 general election, (Republican) Scalise received 33,867 votes (75.13 percent) to Democrat Gilda Reed’s 10,142 ballots (22.5 percent).

Yeah! Those Dems are on a roll! You sure can call them! No stopping them now! /sarcasm (Have fun whistling by the graveyard!)



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on May 13, 2008 at 08:12 pm

Yep, I can, Cazayouz won a traditional republican district in Louisiana. Childers won a traditional republican district with 1.3 million buckaroos from the RNC and a visit from Cheney.

So you keep that chin up there,Proof,I am whistling tonight quite happily.  The Rs can’t raise money and then on top of that they have to spend it on races they should win hands down.  I love it when they have to spend just to try and keep what they have and they can’t even do that!

Puzzlefeet on May 13, 2008 at 08:24 pm

Oh, I forgot to include in my post the fact that President Bush, John McCain and First Lady Bush all recorded robocalls to support the republican.  Oops, I apologize for leaving this important information out.

Puzzlefeet on May 13, 2008 at 08:49 pm
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Cazayouz won a traditional republican district in Louisiana.

Quite a trend you’ve got going there!

Childers won a traditional republican district with 1.3 million buckaroos from the RNC and a visit from Cheney.

One point three million, eh? How much did the Dems spend?

Democrats poured $1 million into the Mississippi district, hoping a win there would lead to a third Republican defeat in as many months

The two candidates had faced off in an April 22 election that featured several other minor candidates. Childers also won that vote over Davis, 49 percent to 46 percent. But a second vote was forced because neither candidate got more than 50 percent of the ballots.

So the Republican was within 3 points initially, and lost the runoff, where the spending was nearly equal. Wow! That is a juggernaut against the Republicans. Crushing! Oooh. I’ve got goosebumps!

Dems are 3 for 3 in special elections

Except for the special elections where they didn’t! Steve Scalise won 100% of the special elections he ran in (1 for 1)! Just two weeks ago! So that doesn’t count...why?
Keep cherry picking your statistics. The data will be much more meaningful then!
Savor your wins, but it’s still a bit premature to build a trend out of them. Especially if you ignore any data that contradicts your theory.



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on May 13, 2008 at 08:53 pm

The republicans are the ones who are seeing the trend.  Why else would they have sunk all they could into this race, with Cheney, Bush, McCain all putting efforts into Mississippi. 

Now I know that don’t want to see the writing on the wall, but perhaps you can tell me how the Rs can defend as many seats that they have to defend with the added difficulty of having to defend seats that are in republican strongholds.  Further, now that Bob Barr has announced that he is running as a Libertarian, this could prove troublesome for McCain when Barr has stronger conservative credentials than McCain does.

But perhaps you can write some scenario where the Rs can raise the money they need, recruit top tier candidates and stop any more retirements from happening.

I’ll be waiting....

Puzzlefeet on May 13, 2008 at 09:15 pm

Proof,

Let the old gal have something to gloat about!  At least for the time being.

The Dems have a national ticket soon to be headed by a rookie Senator with no executive or managerial or foreign policy, or national defense, or economic policy experience.  He is suave and at ease in public… as long as his teleprompter is plugged in.  But without it he is halting, confused, and unsure.  He is already on record as an elitist and a snob who finds the company of radicals and kooks comforting and instructive and far more to his liking than that of the working class citizens he seeks to lead.  His pastor and long-time spiritual advisor, who inconveniently refuses to go away, has been replaced in the pulpit with an even more brash bigot, and his wife’s disdainful sense of entitlement makes that of Hillary Clinton look small town and petty by comparison.  He is the boy wonder of arguably the most politically corrupt city in the nation, and we have yet to hear any real detailed history from the likes of Tony Rezko.  Obama’s policy prescriptions are chaotic, contradictory, and wrong, a clear reflection of his inexperience in dealing with anything more substantive than pablum, and his entire campaign is thus far premised on what and who he isn’t.

Like I said, let the old gal have her moment… for now.


“Poverty of goods is easily cured; poverty of the mind is irreparable.”

Bat One on May 13, 2008 at 09:37 pm

So what’s that, a combined 50 or 60 gop years down the drain in only 3 elections?


“If a conservative is still a republican after the last 13 years, he is blind to the fact that his party of choice has failed him utterly.” – Realitybasedbob

realitybasedbob on May 14, 2008 at 08:11 am
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I think it’s funny that on the one hand, the rubes, boobs and hicks over in West Virginia ain’t all that important, but Holy Cow! Look how well we’re doing in Mississippi and Louisiana! Heh.



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on May 14, 2008 at 08:22 am
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I’m sorry! Parts of Mississippi and Louisiana! Heh.



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on May 14, 2008 at 08:24 am
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And then, as Paul Harvey liked to say, here’s the rest of the story!
From the WSJ:

Democrat Travis Childers was able to run as a conservative and dodge GOP attempts to link him to Mr. Obama and the latter’s relationship with the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. Mr. Childers defeated Republican Greg Davis by 54% to 46%

So, a Democrat RUNNING AS A CONSERVATIVE beat the Republican by 8 pts? Wow! That really does provide a bell weather for liberals taking control, doesn’t it?
Who was it that said:

...it’s still a bit premature to build a trend out of them. Especially if you ignore any data that contradicts your theory.

Oh, yeah! It was me!



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on May 14, 2008 at 01:03 pm

Puzzlefeet - So you keep that chin up there,Proof,I am whistling tonight quite happily.

You do that every time freedom dies.

You’re twisted.

likwidshoe on May 15, 2008 at 01:52 am
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You know, lik, ever since it was revealed that this Democrat ran as a conservative to win, it’s been awfully quiet around here!



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on May 15, 2008 at 04:36 am
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What’s that sound? Ah! The whistling has stopped! Seemed to happen when we talked about a conservative winning a Republican district! (There’s a shocker!)

Democrats pulled off the win by smartly nominating a conservative, Travis Childers, from a rural swing part of the district who disavowed Barack Obama and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and hit Mr. Davis from the right.

Hmmm! A Conservative who threw both Nancy Pelosi AND Barack Obama under the bus wins in Mississippi! Yep! If’n I was a Liberal, I’d be turning cartwheels long about now! Heh.



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on May 15, 2008 at 09:31 am
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