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Justin B.

Saturday, August 09, 2008

Question of the Day

Davinski asks:
If John Edwards’ political career is done, why isn’t John McCain’s?


Let me address that first. The answer is because John McCain didn’t lie about it. And he didn’t continue to lie about it over and over to the press while running for President. But even more so, Edwards has not stopped lying about it even now as evidenced by the real question you don’t want to ask:

If Edwards had had an affair with this woman, but was not the father of her child--

What was he Doing with his Former Mistress in a posh hotel in the middle of the night?


Either he was there to screw her again or he was there to see his kid. I fail to see any alternative to those two possibilities. Which is it? Because thus far, no one has answered that question. What was John doing with her still and did Elizabeth know and approve of the meeting?

Got any answers to this Dave because Edward’s cannot channel some unborn baby to talk his way out of this one.

Friday, July 18, 2008

More Blue State Troubles

Starbucks Corp. has named all 600 company-owned stores it plans to close in a bid to boost its business and weed out unprofitable locations.

Only one will close in Arizona—in Eloy.

The company announced 50 stores late last week, saying those stores would be closed by the end of July. Those include four stores in Alabama, seven in Minnesota and eight in California. :

Now the gourmet coffee retailer is detailing all stores slated for closure. Including the eight other stores, California will now lose 88 stores with two each in Los Angeles and San Francisco, and 10 in San Diego.

Florida will lose 59 stores, including three each in Tampa and Palm Beach Gardens. Louisiana will lose 13 stores, nine of them in Baton Rouge.

The company announced earlier this month that it would close 600 company-owned stores in the U.S. starting in July and continuing through the first half of the next fiscal year. But Starbucks didn’t say which locations would be shut down, until now.

The move to close the stores is a turnabout from Starbucks’ aggressive expansion plans. But the company curtailed those plans as it saw traffic and its profits decline recently as the faltering economy has led some consumers to question their spending on pricey coffee.

CALIFORNIA: 88
NEW YORK: 39
MICHIGAN: 18
MINNESOTA: 27
PENNSYLVANIA: 21
ILLINOIS: 25

But I will also add:

TEXAS: 57
FLORIDA: 59

Let me note that Karl Rove and the RNC is behind this happening just before the election.

This will be a brutal impact for many latte loving liberal college kids as they will lose an important place to formulate their Bush=Hitler, No Blood for Oil rallies and be able to talk about conspiracies like the super secret government Brown Note devices that are planned for the Democrat Convention.

Political activists planning protest rallies at the upcoming Democratic Convention in Denver have their stomachs in knots over a rumor about a crowd control weapon - known as the “crap cannon” - that might be unleashed against them.

Also called “Brown Note,” it is believed to be an infrasound frequency that debilitates a person by making them defecate involuntarily.

Monday, June 16, 2008

When I Get Married in California

My dream gay wedding.  Cowboy Style courtesy of the AP and our friends in California:

brokeback wedding

Unfortunately, I am what is referred to as a “Bear” as is our humble host of the site Rob.  This is more what our weddings will look like.

bearwedding

Bank Robberies are Because of the Economy

The USA Today reports that Bank Robberies are going up because of a bad economy:
Bank robberies are up in cities across the United States this year and, although the reason is unclear, the down economy is a suspect.

“The economy is driving some of this,” says Chris Swecker, chief security officer for Bank of America and former assistant director of the FBI’s criminal division. “We’re even getting some anecdotal stuff from bank robbers.”

Swecker said Bank of America analysts study the interplay between the increase in bank heists and foreclosures, credit defaults and unemployment rates.

“We haven’t drawn any conclusions yet, but we are certainly looking at it,” he said.


OK, so what we do is run a headline claiming that the economy is behind bank robberies, but later on, we have the article say “we haven’t drawn any conclusions, but we are looking at it”.

I guess when you can run headlines that say “Murder Rates Up, Lax Gun Control Laws Suspect”, this sort of reporting makes sense. One would assume that there would be detailed statistics that relate foreclosure rates, the unemployment rate, median income, and so on to the number of bank robberies over a period of say 30 years. Graph it out. Create a nice graph like Will does at Willisms.

What you will see though, is that Bank Robberies are committed by individuals. Do the cops interview each criminal and ask them, “How has the economy affected your decision to rob banks for a living? Would you say it is more than your decision to drop out of high school did? More than your decision to use methamphetimine did?, etc.”

I am betting that if the statisticians at the AP dig enough they can find one bank robber in the entire country that did it to pay for his grandmother’s medical bills that her HMO declined to cover or to pay for some new medication that the evil drug companies have priced so expensive that he cannot afford it because his company outsourced his job and he now works at Walmart and cannot get health benefits because he is only part time. Then they can run an article using anecdotal evidence that drug companies, Walmart, and George Bush cause bank robberies.

Try a little harder guys. I am sure you can do it.

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Unemployment Rate Jumps--Press Neglects to Inform about Minimum Wage and Illegal Immigrants

I posted about the increase in the number of unemployed foreign born Hispanics earlier in the week before the new unemployment numbers came out.  Gonna post this again:

The unemployment rate for Hispanic immigrants was 7.5 percent during the first months of this year, compared with 6.9 percent among native-born Hispanics. During the same period in 2007, the rates were 5.5 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively.

“The unemployment rate has shot up because of the slump in construction and Hispanic workers had done very well finding jobs in the construction industry as it was booming,” said Rakesh Kochhar, associate director for research. “Having become somewhat dependent on this industry, they were more vulnerable to the downturn.”

An overwhelming majority of jobs lost in the construction industry were held by foreign-born Hispanics.

It isn’t just construction job losses for illegals, it is teens and high school graduates losing jobs, or more appropriately, new teens and high school grads trying to enter the job market for the first time and there are less jobs present because of the new minimum wage hikes:

The real story here is unemployment among entry-level workers to the employment system. In summer, teenagers and college students enter the marketplace looking for seasonal and part-time work. This accounts for the significant rise in job-seekers and the 0.4% increase in unemployment. Otherwise, an overall job loss of 49,000 jobs would account for a 0.04% increase in a market of 138 million workers.

Why have these new job seekers found it difficult to get jobs? One reason is that Congress made jobs costlier just in time for this economic slowdown. Congress raised the minimum wage last year by seventy cents an hour, from $5.15 to $5.85. It will rise again in July to $6.55 an hour, and next year will hit $7.25 per hour. That makes entry-level labor as much as 27% more expensive this summer, when consumers have already slowed down their spending. The natural loss of work from the slowdown amplifies the effect of the minimum-wage increase, because businesses now cannot afford to raise prices to maintain their entry-level positions.

Couple things to point out if we are indeed in a recession:

1.  You don’t want to raise the minimum wage.  Just a bad idea.  Raising the minimum wage causes businesses to raise their prices. 
2.  Considering how rapidly gas prices are rising, inflation is the last thing we need, especially inflated wages and raw materials.
3.  Fuel prices are behind a lot of the issues and all this talk about “alternative fuels” and “investing in the future” is a bullshit way of saying “blocking any new domestic production” and “raising taxes on oil companies”.
4.  Speaking of taxes on oil companies, “windfall profits taxes” sure are gonna help bring down gas prices.
5.  Speaking of taxes, raising the capital gains tax and increasing taxes on “the rich” is gonna help too.

The Democrats’ plan for the economy goes like this:

1.  Raise the minimum wage which has a ripple effect on union contracts that are indexed to it.  In essence, raise wage costs for all businesses, which is worst for low wage service businesses because the minimum wage is felt much more at the low end.
2.  Raise taxes on individuals and allow the tax cuts to expire.
3.  Halt any future domestic oil production ensuring no new oil sources come online.
4.  Raise taxes on oil companies which will no doubt be passed on to consumers.

Just as individuals are cutting back on discretionary expenses due to high oil prices, businesses are either cutting expenses or raising prices.  They are cutting jobs to deal with the minimum wage.  Add in new tax burdens on both income and capital gains and who the hell wants to invest in a new business.  Where is the profit?  And without profit motive, no economy works.

Policies matter and notice how all of this started when the Democrats took control and started with their economic agenda.

Thursday, June 05, 2008

Unemployment and the Construction Industry

It is pretty clear that the housing industry has slowed considerably. This article paints an interesting picture of the economic and employment impacts of the slowdown:

WASHINGTON - As the construction industry has slumped, the unemployment rate among Hispanic immigrants has climbed, an analysis released Wednesday shows.

For the first time in five years, foreign-born Hispanics have a higher unemployment rate than do Hispanics born in the U.S., according to the Pew Hispanic Center’s analysis of census and Labor Department data.

The unemployment rate for Hispanic immigrants was 7.5 percent during the first months of this year, compared with 6.9 percent among native-born Hispanics. During the same period in 2007, the rates were 5.5 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively.

“The unemployment rate has shot up because of the slump in construction and Hispanic workers had done very well finding jobs in the construction industry as it was booming,” said Rakesh Kochhar, associate director for research. “Having become somewhat dependent on this industry, they were more vulnerable to the downturn.”

An overwhelming majority of jobs lost in the construction industry were held by foreign-born Hispanics.

Mexican immigrants have been hardest hit; their unemployment rate jumped from 5.5 percent last year to 8.4 percent. The employment downturn added about 255,000 Hispanic immigrants, most of whom are Mexican, to the ranks of the unemployed.

Foreign-born Hispanics could have entered the country legally or illegally. The report does not divide the immigrant numbers along those lines although undocumented workers can be found in the construction industry. For that reason, stepped-up enforcement of immigration laws also has played a role in the job losses, Rakesh said.


Notice how they don’t come right out and tell the truth--

1. Stepped up enforcement is increasing the unemployment rate for illegals.

2. The unemployment rate for US Born Hispanics has “shot up” .2% over the last year while the unemployment rate for non-US born Hispanics has increased by 2%.

3. The unemployment rate for Mexican Immigrants has increased by 3%.

Let’s assume that legal immigrants with green cards and equal job skills, equal proficiency in English, and the same work ethic are as likely as their peers who are US born to obtain employment. Actually, this assumption is almost certainly fact given that until the last year, US Born workers had a HIGHER unemployment rate than foreign born workers. This gives us a few possible explanations:

1. Employers suddenly don’t like the skills and work ethic of foreign born workers.

2. The majority of foreign born Hispanics lack job skills that are needed since the construction slow down cut the demand for unskilled labor.

3. Stepped up enforcement and arrests at major companies by INS caused employers to think twice about employing illegals.

--or--

4. This is more evidence of the Bush Recession and not only does Bush hate black people (Kanye), but he hates Hispanics as well. And the rest of Americans are racists for not hiring them. And we need to vote Obama because he will ensure that generations from now, we will be able to look back and tell our children that this was the moment when we began to provide care for the sick and good jobs to the jobless.

Wednesday, June 04, 2008

New RNC Obama Video (h/t Wizbang)

Very well said.  This, combined with the Rev. Wright fiasco should start turning the tide.  McCain appeals to moderates and independents already, but Moderate and Conservative Democrats have to be scared shitless by the Obamamessiah.  This only plays to their fears and using the quotes from the other Democrats is exceptionally solid work.

Friday, May 30, 2008

Army Suicide Rate at Highest In History (since 1980 when stats started)

Headline meets MSM’s agenda, facts and statistics, not as much:

WASHINGTON - The Army recorded 115 soldiers’ suicides in 2007, the highest total since it started counting in 1980, the service announced Thursday. That’s more than twice the 52 suicides in 2001, the low point reached as the war on terrorism started.

The five-year war in Iraq is driving up the number of suicides, said Col. Elspeth Ritchie, a psychiatric consultant to the Army surgeon general.

Army records showed that 65 percent of the suicides were related to broken relationships and that 37 percent of the suicides came within 30 days of the end of those relationships. Multiple combat deployments of up to 15 months hurt those relationships, Ritchie said.

The 115 deaths amount to an 18.5-per-100,000 rate, the highest rate since 1980, the Army said.

The civilian suicide rate was 19.5 per 100,000 in 2005, according to the latest statistics available from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Among the 115, five were women, 22 were from the National Guard or Army Reserve, and 93 were active-duty Army. Thirty-two suicides occurred in Iraq and four in Afghanistan. About one in four of the victims had never deployed…

Suicide rates among Marines have also risen during the Iraq war, records show. Marine suicides rose from 23 in 2002 to 33 last year, or a rate of 12.5 per 100,000 to 16.5 per 100,000.

So by joining the military, going to war, enduring relationship trouble, extended deployments, and hell in Bush’s illegal war for oil… you are less likely to kill yourself than your average American.

Headline is a little misleading, don’t you think?

Sunday, May 25, 2008

President Al Gore versus President John McCain

Proof offers that the biggest mistake Democrats made was their failure to unite behind Al Gore.  Perhaps it was failure to impeach Clinton and retain Al Gore as President, but ultimately, the failure to Elect Al Gore led to the abyss that they describe as the Bush Administration.

What if John McCain is our Al Gore?  What if instead of a person we in retrospect realize was infinitely better to choose than Obama is cast off into bearded oblivion and Obama screws up the world in our eyes as bad as Bush did in their eyes?  Gore would be president except for a little over 500 votes in Florida.  If Gore was president, how different would things be?  Would Liberals be happier or less happy?  Did they realize what they were doing voting for Nader at the time?

Obama is as bad for Free Market Conservatives as Bush was to Blue State College Professors that voted Nader.  Learn the lessons of recent history Whistler and others that are completely anti-McCain.  McCain is what we got and he is infinitely better than Obama.  Dems might have hoped Bush would usher in some Great Society LBJ or some New Deal FDR to save their party.  Perhaps it has in Obama eight years later.  Would they in retrospect sacrifice the last eight years to simply state how little they liked Al Gore as the nominee?

We don’t even know that after eight years of Bush screwing the country up (from a Liberal point of view) that even after eight years, Obama will win.  It might be 12 years of relative hell for lefties if they end up with four more years of Conservatives.  And all of it is because of the Nader vote by Liberals in 2000.

Are you guys Nader supporters?  By not voting, you elect Obama.  If you want to make a point that you are a true conservative, vote Libertarian.  They represent Conservatives.  Free Market folks.  But they consistently lose.  Republicans represent all the imperfections of needing to select the most free market and Libertarian candidate and that is why Ron Paul got his Libertarian ass kicked.

Saturday, May 24, 2008

Global Warming Alert--Phoenix Memorial Day Edition

First, it was 11" of snow in Flagstaff on May 13, now it is the Memorial Day Weekend Weather in Phoenix that saw snow in Flagstaff and Eastern Arizona’s White Mountains.
The National Weather Service is projecting lower-than-average highs of 77 degrees today, 84 on Sunday and 87 on Monday. Historically, the temperature this time of the year hits an average of 97 degrees.

The mild weekend comes after an unusual week in which the Valley saw its first triple-digit temperature of the year, including a blistering 110 degrees on Monday, followed by showers Thursday and Friday that broke a three-month dry spell.

Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport, where weather officially is gauged, recorded 0.39 inch of rain between Thursday and Friday.

Chandler logged the most rainfall across the Valley, 1.34 inches… May is the second-driest month of the year (June is the driest) in Phoenix. This week’s showers surpassed the 0.16 inch of rain the Valley sees on average for the entire month.

Precipitation was minimal in Tucson where only .02 inch of rain fell on Thursday, but Mount Lemmon got dusted with about 3 inches of snow.

In Flagstaff, where more than 3 inches of snow had fallen by Friday afternoon, a winter advisory remains in effect until 6 a.m. today.

In Greenlee County in eastern Arizona, 12.5 inches of snow hit Hannagan Meadow.


We took my wife’s Passat up to Payson for the day instead of the Avalanche because at almost $4.00 per gallon, we need to get rid of the SUV.

Let’s think about that for a second. If indeed, Global Warming was the most dangerous threat to mankind since the Plague or SARS or AIDS or Bird Flu or… If it is the worst thing ever, we can argue the effectiveness of Cap and Trade policies or Kyoto or whatever other idiotic measures our leaders want to enact. But what IS ACTUALLY PRETTY DAMNED EFFECTIVE is gas in the $4-5 per gallon range. People actually make responsible choices and use less fuel. Sure, some folks don’t but lots of others start feeling the pain.

So let’s suggest that in order to save Polar Bears and Caribou and the Planet, we simply prevent investing any money at all into developing more fuel resources and we simply allow escalating price pressures to drastically cut the consumption of fossil fuels. If we raise prices enough, we can cool the Earth. And if Oil Companies do make a buck or two, we take it away from them because it is a “windfall profit” based on rising prices that we are using to cool the entire earth.

Unless fossil fuels are a completely insignificant contributor to the climate of Earth and drilling in ANWR will have a completely insignificant effect on Caribou and tundra. In which case, we will not have saved a single polar bear or caribou, had no effect on the temperature of the planet at all, but impoverished the entire plant by limiting their ability to move from place to place and escalating the cost of every single item that requires petroleum to make. And most specifically food which requires vast amounts of energy to produce and transport to the third world. But that is less of a problem since we have stopped growing Rice and Wheat so that we can grow Corn to make into Ethanol because of how profitable the subsidies are.

Don't let the same folks that tell you they care about the little man and the mill worker and the school teacher that are trying to make ends meet in middle America in the same breath tell you that Global Warming is a crisis of the utmost importance and we need to stop any oil development or drilling in order to save the earth. The two are completely incompatible.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Ted Kennedy Family Announces Michael Moore to Accompany Family to Cuba for Medical Treatment

I am betting Ted is begging to get some of the great medical care Michael Moore was talking about. Viva Fidel.

The World Health Organization ranks the United States 37th in healthcare:

The World Health Organization has carried out the first ever analysis of the world’s health systems. Using five performance indicators to measure health systems in 191 member states, it finds that France provides the best overall health care followed among major countries by Italy, Spain, Oman, Austria and Japan.

The findings are published today, 21 June, in The World Health Report 2000 – Health systems: Improving performance.

The U. S. health system spends a higher portion of its gross domestic product than any other country but ranks 37 out of 191 countries according to its performance, the report finds. The United Kingdom, which spends just six percent of gross domestic product (GDP) on health services, ranks 18th . Several small countries – San Marino, Andorra, Malta and Singapore are rated close behind second- placed Italy.

Kennedy Family Prepares for Worst--Cousin-in-Law Arnold Empathizes

I could not resist.  Sorry Maria.

Monday, May 19, 2008

US Leading Economic Indicators Rose in Back to Back Months-March and April

This just in--maybe we ain’t in a recession after all. How inconvenient. Next thing you know, we will find out that the earth is no longer warming. Makes your mind hurt trying to reconcile reality to an Obama speech or an MSM article. Don’t try.
May 19 (Bloomberg)—The index of leading U.S. economic indicators rose in April for a second month, the first back-to- back gain since October 2006, signaling that the current slowdown will be short-lived.

The Conference Board’s gauge increased 0.1 percent, better than forecast and matching the gain in March, the New York-based research group said today. The measure points to the direction of the economy over the next three to six months.

Stocks and the dollar rallied after the figure spurred speculation that tax rebates and the Federal Reserve’s interest- rate cuts will aid a recovery in the second half. Economists estimate the economy will expand just 0.1 percent this quarter as consumers rein in spending in the wake of falling house prices and a surge in fuel costs.

``The message on the economy is that activity is soft but not moving down sharply,’’ said Michael Moran, chief economist at Daiwa Securities America Inc. in New York, who accurately forecast the index’s gain. ``The economy is muddling along.’’


I just hope the recession lasts long enough to elect Obama. It is gonna be tough to stump if the MSM cannot claim a Bush recession every day in their articles.

.1% isn't exactly a robust economy, but the last two years, GDP growth has averaged well over 3%. Unemployment remains 5% or less. Wage growth continues to outpace inflation, even with the higher price of fuel. Now if we would just open ANWAR and the Oil Shale in Colorado, Utah, Wyoming, and the Dakotas.

What is funny is the MSM trying to claim that the stimulus helped. If it were tax cuts instead of handouts for a stimulus, you think the MSM would be claiming that they did any good?

BTW, I just got my stimulus check last week. Maybe it is a magical stimulus that affects April's numbers before consumers even get it.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Run Like Hell from Folks with Mullets

Cross Posted at www.ski-blog.com:

From today’s Arizona Republic:
SCOTTSDALE - Police are searching for a man who shot and wounded a large dog in the 6800 block of East Almeria Street.

Police were called about 8 p.m. Friday by witnesses who said they heard a bang and the yelping of a dog.

The Rottweiler’s owner discovered the dog, blood streaming from its mouth, near his carport door shortly after the gun shot, Scottsdale police said.

A veterinarian confirmed that the Rottweiler was shot once in the head, with the bullet entering the side of the dog’s mouth and exiting though its tongue, police said.

The dog was unleashed and unattended when it was shot, police said.

Police said witnesses reported seeing a man in his mid-30s, 5-foot 8-inches tall, and 200 pounds with a dark mullet-style haircut running westbound on Almeria Street, away from the injured dog.

The dog is expected to survive, police said.


He was possibly driving a 1984 Firebird and wearing a Levis Jean Jacket with a AC/DC patch on it.

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Another Global Warming Story--11” of Snow falls in Arizona on May 13

Damn that Global Warming… er… Climate Change

There were no April showers to bring any May flowers, but many Arizonans woke to snow, spotty rain and strong winds Tuesday morning during the typically warm month of May.

The low-pressure system that brought the wet weather had passed through the state just after noon, but a 30 percent chance of rain in the Valley still existed, according to the National Weather Service.

The Valley saw just trace amounts of rain throughout the morning along with wind gusts of up to 41 mph, according to the weather service. Meanwhile, the Flagstaff airport had about three inches of snow and around 11 inches of snow fell at Sunset Crater northeast of Flagstaff.

Climate Change, baby.  Man-made.  I drove my SUV to Starbucks today getting 15.6 MPG knowing that I am doing my part to cause Flagstaff snowfall.

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