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Rove has some potentially good news for the GOP
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pcND - 10:11am on 11/13/2008

The benefit of people getting old in the Northeast is that they are moving to the South with some more like-minded voters.  The redistricting looks to benefit the GOP.

This matters because the 2010 Census could allocate as many as four additional congressional districts to Texas, two each to Arizona and Florida, and one district to each of a number of (mostly) red-leaning states, while subtracting seats from (mostly) blue-leaning states like Michigan, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania and, for the first time, California. Redistricting and reapportionment could help tilt the playing field back to the GOP in Congress and the race for the White House by moving seven House seats (and electoral votes) from mostly blue to mostly red states.

Unfortunately we will probably need quite a few more seats that what are redistricted.  But, the silver lining is, the party in power pretty much always loses seats in mid-terms. 

History will favor Republicans in 2010. Since World War II, the out-party has gained an average of 23 seats in the U.S. House and two in the U.S. Senate in a new president’s first midterm election. Other than FDR and George W. Bush, no president has gained seats in his first midterm election in both chambers.

Since 1966, the incumbent party has lost an average of 63 state senate and 262 state house seats, and six governorships, in a president’s first midterm election. That 2010 is likely to see Republicans begin rebounding just before redistricting is one silver lining in an otherwise dismal year for the GOP.

Rove the eternal optimist.  Once things “Change” for the worst we should get some seats. 


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