What An Amazing World We Live In

Jerry Pournelle’s recent column struck a nerve with me:

The new 3G iPhone moves us a long way toward the pocket computer Niven and I described in 1973 in The Mote in God’s Eye. Of course that book was set a long way into the future, and the pocket computer in the book was something out of my imagination; I certainly didn’t expect to have anything like that in my lifetime.

I’ve been re-reading a lot of my favorite science fiction these days (including some of Mr. Pournelle’s work) and it amazes me just how far we’ve come. Those books are filled with spaceships and hotel rooms where you can have your food delivered in a tube and computer terminals where you can access entire wealths of information. While we haven’t reached the point of space travel just yet, the level we’ve reached in terms of information technology – and the speed with which we’ve reached it – is amazing. Another sci/fi giant, Arthur C. Clarke, famously said (I’m paraphrasing) that any sufficiently advanced technology looks like magic to those not familiar with it.
Imagine what the science fiction writers of the 1950′s – or even the 1980′s – would think if you showed up in their living room with an iPhone or a blackberry?
My grandmother, who unfortunately passed away in the last year, used to tell me about helping her father farm with horses the land he homesteaded here in North Dakota after immigrating from Norway. She said that in those days the North Dakota landscape was dotted with little towns, because everyone traveled by horse and carriage. Or walked. And going even 10 miles into town for supplies good be a day trip.
Now, not only is a 10 mile trip a 10 minute affair, but you can send entire books of information to the other side of the world in seconds. You can purchase and download your favorite book without leaving your easy chair. You can use your phone to not only look up the address you’re going to, but also show on a map where you’re at and where your destination is at and how to get from where you’re at to where you’re going. And even show a street-level picture of your destination.
I have a little robot that vacuums my family room. Seriously.
We can access aerial pictures taken from space on our phones as quickly as it takes to make a phone call. And it’s accessible not just to the rich and elite, but pretty much everyone.
I’m not meaning to sound like a cheerleader here, but amidst all the economic doom and gloom I don’t think we often enough take a time out to realize just how good we have it these days. And why we have it, which certainly isn’t because of big government but rather because of smart and intelligent people acting in their own best interest in a free market.
We are living the life of George Jetson, but I think most of us take it for granted.

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  • http://www.governmentgrantstruth.org/ rodneymcname44

    It truly is incredible to see how fast technology comes to be. I can;t even imagine what will be around in the next 50 years. I hope I get to see as much as possible..

  • mdmdc

    Well, I disagree with some your characterizations, but as you said, we’ve all gone back and forth on this before. I’m actually not a “cut defense” liberal — but I would certainly never cut DARPA, ONR, AFOSR, or the ARO, the basic (and more applied in some of their cases) research agencies at DOD. They provide the lifeblood of our technological advantage — as, in my opinion, do NSF, NIH, DOE Office of Science, etc. Anyway, as I wrote in my original, I agree that smart and inventive people are needed to bring these things to commercial life (with incredible hard work). But — you say I overemphasize government funding for the underpinnings, I say you underemphasize them.

  • jimmypop

    used to tell me about helping her father farm with horses the land he homesteaded here in North Dakota after immigrating from Norway.

    we have pictures of the horse hooked up in the fields. and they are some of the coolest pics my family has.

  • Michael K.

    Move_zig:

    You are missing my point. I am not saying that I think the what the Founders said is no longer applicable. I would just like to hear a reasoned discussion of where the line is. My point is that privacy does not have to become “passe” when people no longer respect their own privacy. People willingly post details of their private lives for public consumption. Facebook profiles, youtube videos, published GPS coordinates the list only gets longer. What right of self defense exists unless there is also a right to self destruction?

    The basis which I believe in inseperable from they genius of the Founders is the religious moral foundation which they built their vision on. They were learned and wise but they were also human and they realized that each generation had the right and responsibility to renegotiate the social contract. This country started out with slavery and without women’s sufferage but we found a way to evolve our social contract to include those it originally left out because it was right.

    I don’t think that freedom is outdated. I think that freedom is a gift that we throw away very lightly. I want to know why people in other countries and times have sacrificed their freedom to tyrants. Are we doing that now? I know that I don’t want to live in North Korea now. The question I have is will I want to live in the United States in 10-20 years.

  • Michael K.

    I often wonder how society and politics need to evolve as technology evolves. Do the ideals of our Founders really apply in a world with as much population, interdependence and technology. I am not arguing that it doesn’t. I’m just saying that it is a point worth pondering. How to the principles of unalienable rights apply in a modern world? Where is the line? Certainly society must evolve but how far and in what direction?

    Discuss…

  • carrick

    Rob:

    Not nearly as often as the proponents of big government would like to think.

    You’re basing this on what data?

  • http://www.bismarckmandanblog.com/ clintf

    Where the heck is my flying car?

  • docdave

    My grandmother, who unfortunately passed away in the last year, used to tell me about helping her father farm with horses the land he homesteaded here in North Dakota after immigrating from Norway. She said that in those days the North Dakota landscape was dotted with little towns, because everyone traveled by horse and carriage. Or walked. And going even 10 miles into town for supplies good be a day trip.

    My youthful experiences are not too different from your grandmothers except we had cars for transportation and tractors for plowing, etc. Horses were still used for some farming functions and a day trip was 30-60 miles instead of 10.

    Having lived through all the changes, not all of them good, gives one a different prespective.

  • mdmdc

    Cool post!

    GPS, cell phone technology, etc. — the result of

    smart and intelligent people acting in their own best interest in a free market

    building upon the discoveries of basic research scientists funded by the federal government. (plenty of sites to link to, just google “basic research” and “gps” or “cell phone” or whatever other technology you’d like.)

    Again, I agree that smart people took this knowledge and made it commercially viable; and I don’t believe that you need a “big government” to still have federal funding for basic research. But federally-funded basic research led to much if not all of what you’re writing about, so we shouldn’t ignore government’s role.

  • http://SayAnythingBlog.com The_Whistler_ofnd

    And where are the flying cars they promised us?

  • bill-tb

    And think about it, with the new global warming hoax carbon taxes we can all return to those yester-years. Democrats have future plans too.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/readers/entry/homosexuality_is_wrong_-_a_compendium move_zig

    Yes, I love technology and immerse myself in it.

    On the other hand, I am very disappointed by the lack of visible future progress I had anticipated. Indeed, I share many of the same misgivings that Daniel Wilson complains of in his book: Where’s my Jetpack?

    In Where’s My Jetpack?, roboticist Daniel H. Wilson takes a hilarious look at the future we always imagined for ourselves. He exposes technology, spotlights existing prototypes, and reveals drawing-board plans. You will learn which technologies are already available, who made them, and where to find them. If the technology is not public, you will learn how to build, buy, or steal it.

    But worse than just lack of George Jetson speeders, BladerRunner Spinners, the Jupiter II’s antigravity drives, Tesla’s wireless energy, and Scotty’s Matter-Anti-matter starship engines, I see both loss and great danger.

    Loss, in that you see the coarsening of society. The dumbing-down of the kids, indeed, the dumbing down of just about everyone. Back in the day when that photo above was made (FORBIDDEN PLANET with Leslie Nielson, Walter Pigeon, Anne Francis and introducing Robbie the Robot) being a scientist was COOL!

    Scientists routinely saved the Earth from huge mutated ants (THEM!) and other monsters from Gamera to Godzirra (bad lip-synching and all) and even when they couldn’t come through and save the day (WAR OF THE WORLDS – 1953) they were still manly, got the girls, and were COOL. Whether they were the Professor on GILLIGAN’S ISLAND or JOHNNY QUEST’S dad, these guys were men and cool.

    No longer.

    Now, scientists are crazy (BACK TO THE FUTURE) or even dangerous (THE FLY – with Jeff Goldblum) and by and large, wimpy, flaccid Nerds. They are the Geeks for BESTBUY’S Geek Squad, or the twerps representing other cellphone companies on the ALLTEL ads.

    Why would any kid want to be an engineer or scientist?

    Why would any kid be interested in building his own crystal radio? Or in advanced math? Or look up at the stars and wonder what it would be like to shoot for them (OCTOBER SKY was based on the true-life story of the first steps into science by a kid living in West Virginia coal country, later a NASA scientist)

    As a result, we are suffering a self-induced brain-drain. Our advanced math and science courses would die out were it not for foreign national grad students, who often times come here, learn what we teach and then go back home. That is how Silkworm Missiles, which plagued oil tanker traffic in the Gulf or Hormuz, came from.

    And there is danger.

    Knowledge must be tempered by wisdom. Everyone (you would think) knows that giving an infant a live grenade to play with is asking for trouble. But as technology advances, the weapons of warfare become far more lethal by leaps and bounds. In particular, the nuclear, biological and chemical weapons are in the hands of dangerous Third World countries, who do not have the inner-guidance of restraint that even the Soviets had. The aging Soviet generals who faced us during the Cold War knew first-hand the devastation of war and knew when to back down and when to stay their hand.

    There will be no cooler heads to prevail in the confrontations just off our horizon. And joining this greater capability of destruction and greater willingness to use these weapons are new weapons: nanotechnology, directed energy and, if they have not already been tested, geophysical warfare (artificially-induced earthquakes, droughts, hurricanes, tsunamis and the like)

    As if that isn’t bad enough, government surveillance and control technologies, matched with a general disinterest and ignorance in the history and methodology of tyrannies make future global dictatorships a distinct possibility.

    Buy ammo.

  • studakota

    I recall listening, with a friend, to a weak signal on the radio of the 1964 NCAA BB final. Now you can see nearly every game in spectacular detail. If you can find the game ,that is, amongst the preachers, the pitchman, and the pontificaters. Also I can’t believe my ears when I hear someone, usually obese, complaining about the food, the space, the extreme difficulty the poor dear has put up with to fly cross country in four hrs. BTW: Why don’t airlines charge by weight? Good Luck Bison…

  • bustoff

    You can keep the robot. I’ll take the space babe.

  • http://northerngleaner.blogspot.com/ Gene

    Great Post, but I still don’t have a big screen TV

  • Mickey

    Your future

  • theclynn

    I don’t know. I’m sure Isaac Asimov would agree with me on technology still seeming behind. I remember when my husband was reading Foundation and he was confused why Asimov would spend a page describing a calculator, until he saw the copyright date.

    Sarah

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/readers/entry/homosexuality_is_wrong_-_a_compendium move_zig

    Michael,

    Discuss it yourself and think it through.

    Does privacy ever become passe?

    Is Freedom ever outdated?

    Does the Right to Self Defense ever become an anachronism?

    The Founders were students of history. The knew the Bible, not just the Garden of Eden, but of Roman occupation of the Holy land and the numerous despots, tyrants and wars that have been described in the Bible.

    They studied the wars and city-states of Greece and their struggles internally and against outside powers.

    They studied the history of Rome, from its myth of creation under Romulus and Remus, to its eventual collapse.

    They were very familiar with the lies and methodologies of tyrants from the time of the Bible, Ancient Greece, Rome and all the way up to the tyrant King George III.

    They knew the instrumentalities of Control and the Earmarks of Freedom. It was based upon those very bases that they drew up a government with limited and enumerated powers and conferred onto the People the Right and Duty to control their own government.

    History is a great instructor as to what works and what does not. The Left have a huge collective blind spot as to histories’ lessons, and it is because of this blind spot that they condemn everyone they have power over to the same bloody oppression, mass murder and misery that has happened with each Statist regime that has existed since 1917.

    Think it through and you will find that Freedom is never outdated.

    If you still think so, you are free to move to North Korea and try it on for size.

  • Pfeh

    We are living the life of George Jetson, but I think most of us take it for granted.

    I beg to differ – I’m still waiting for my talking dog.

    But, my computer is at least as neurotic as Rudy. Let’s call it a tie.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com robport

    building upon the discoveries of basic research scientists funded by the federal government.

    Not nearly as often as the proponents of big government would like to think. And let’s not forget that turning a workable technological concept into a wonder phone, or an awesome computer, takes a lot more than any work any government scientist has ever done.

    Plus, most of the R&D break-throughs government has been responsible for has been done by the military. Which is the one part of government liberals routinely want to cut.

    So, yeah. Liberals love throwing that “but government funded the research!” response around to posts like this, but that’s misleading. Private industry does most of the heavy lifting, and government’s involvement is from the liberal left’s most hated part of government.

  • http://suitepotato.blogspot.com/ sayanything-4808

    It is amazing that anything ever comes out of government programs, but then when it comes to science and technology, developers mostly can’t find it inside themselves to sit on it. They have to share, they have to show it off. So a lot of NASA and defense research does hit the streets eventually. But private industry had to get their stuff to market from the start. So they have to forces at work: financial and psychological.

    All in all, private industry working the big jobs that move us forward are good breeding grounds for usable tech for humanity, but the government is not the big point. The funds to hire researchers, experimenters, and so on is.

    I’d prefer more of them in the public’s hands than the government’s.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com robport

    You’re basing this on what data?

    Observations, though I’m certainly not interested in a debate over someone whose livelihood is likely research funded by government grants. Kind of like debating Catholicism with the Pope.

  • http://suitepotato.blogspot.com/ sayanything-4808

    I’m not satisfied and now is not the time with the “live simply that others may simply live” environuts and the socialist live with less so the ruling class can live with more imbeciles at the door.

    Building large space colonies of the sort we once read about in books by Gerard K. O’Neil and others is not hard. We know how. We lack people of vision being in charge, we lack people of great communication skill to get the reasons across, and we have a dispirited public cut off from the wonder of their own abilities.

    We can do it, all that is lacking is coherent sense to do it.

    More amazing stuff is to come so as Jack Horkheimer used to say, keep looking up.

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