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Thursday, September 20, 2007


Thompson Beating Giuliani Handily In Harris Poll, Romney And McCain Continue To Slide

Interesting…

ROCHESTER, N.Y.—(BUSINESS WIRE)—After officially declaring his candidacy, U.S. Senator Fred Thompson moves ahead of former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani in the race for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination. One-third (32%) of those who say they will vote in a Republican primary or caucus will vote for Thompson while 28 percent will vote for Giuliani. Much further back is John McCain, who continues his downward slide with 11 percent saying they would vote for the Arizona Senator, and 9 percent who say they would vote for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. . . .

One interesting difference is the support of the different generations. . . .

One-third (33%) of both Echo Boomers and Generation Xers (30 to 41) will vote for Rudy Giuliani while Fred Thompson garners just 8 percent and 22 percent of these generations respectively. But, again among those generations more likely to vote, Fred Thompson is ahead. It is close among Baby Boomers (those aged 42 to 60) as one-third (33%) of this generation will vote for Giuliani and 37 percent will vote for Thompson. Among Matures, the lead is greater – 44 percent will vote for Thompson and 16 percent will vote for Giuliani. Interestingly, one in five (20%) of the youngest generation, Echo Boomers, say they will vote for the oldest candidate, John McCain.

This is the first time I’ve heard the term “echo boomers.”  I guess that’s the generation I fit into, sort of…

Regardless, Thompson is ahead by a strong margin overall in this poll and way, way up among those voters most likely to actually, you know, vote.  What does this tell us?  Well it’s one poll, and an early one at that.  I think the only real conclusion to draw is that this is pretty much a two-person race now.  McCain is still out of it, and Romney is out too.

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