The MSM’s Fraudulent Polls
I’ve been taking a strong interest in the analyses of polls these days. Frankly, I’m flummoxed as to how an incompetent boob, who happens to also to be a Marxist and therefore a dangerous boob, is still leading in the polls to a man who – whether you like him or not – is clearly a man of accomplishment and achievement. Every time I look at the polls, I instinctively ask myself, “Are Americans just plain stupid?” I have great faith in my fellow citizens as a collective force for making reasonably intelligent decisions (certainly, ala Winston Churchill, the second time around) and these polls indeed shake my faith.
As it turns out, my faith has a sporting chance. Those who’ve been following the issue closely know that the polls are dodgy at best and fraudulently rigged at worse. Polls are wildly skewed to pre-bias the outcome. Here is just one example, Obama and Romney are neck and neck in Ohio with a D+10 sample. Really? Ds outnumber Rs in Ohio by 10 points? Correcting for this skew results in a far different outcome.
Anyway, one particular set of polls that has irked me and that doesn’t seem to get the takedowns that more mainstream polls get is the polling done for CNBC, the business network. (Note: CNBC has been notoriously pro-Obama in its coverage. That is my analytical assessment but I also know the CNBC website’s head editor and he’s a lefty, so it stands to reason.) I have covered a few of CNBC’s outright daft polls and prognostications on my blog. So, when confronted this morning by another head-scratcher of a headline at CNBC that once again gets me wondering as to the intelligence of my fellow citizens, I decided to crawl inside the polling numbers to see if the nutty results are an inevitable outcome of flawed poll sampling. Sure enough, two or three clicks later you can get into the innards of the survey and you find this:
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or somethingelse? (IF “DEMOCRAT” OR “REPUBLICAN,” ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong(Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF “INDEPENDENT,” ASK:) Do youthink of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourselfas strictly independent?
Strong Democrat …………………………………… 24
Not very strong Democrat ………………………. 9
Independent/closer to Democratic Party …… 7
Strictly independent ……………………………….. 17
Independent/closer to Republican Party ……. 8
Not very strong Republican …………………….. 6
Strong Republican …………………………………. 15
Something else ……………………………………. 10
Not sure ……………………………………………… 4
For the math-challenged and/or simply lazy, that’s D+9 on “strong” party affiliation and D+3 on weak party affiliation for a total of D+12 for any level of affiliation. That is an egregious skew. Does anybody believe, after November 2010 and the continuing trail of bumbling and misery that Obama has continued to leave in his wake, that D+12 is how this election is going to look? There are other things wrong with the methodology when you do a deep drive, but this skew is indicative of the fraudulent meme being perpetrated by the MSM in their attempts to hold the cratering Presidency of the Lightworker (or is it President Eye Candy?) aloft. And CNBC is particularly bad on this score.
UPDATE: Maybe my faith is um, er, a bit naive…
