Some Shocking Numbers In Iraq

Myelectionanalysis:

81, 76, 50, 49, 43, 25
What are these numbers? This week’s Powerball winners? A safe deposit combo? New numbers to torment those poor b*stards stranded on the island in Lost?
No, they’re the number of troops that have died in hostile actions in Iraq for each of the past six months. That last number represents the lowest level of troop deaths in a year, and second-lowest in two years.
But it must be that the insurgency is turning their assault on Iraqi military and police, who are increasingly taking up the slack, right?
215, 176, 193, 189, 158, 193 (and the three months before that were 304, 282, 233)
Okay, okay, so insurgents aren’t engaging us; they’re turning increasingly to car bombs then, right?
70, 70, 70, 68, 30, 30
Civilians then. They’re just garroting poor civilians.
527, 826, 532, 732, 950, 446 (upper bound, two months before that were 2489 and 1129).
My point here is not that everything is peachy in Iraq. It isn’t. My point isn’t that the insurgency is in its last throes. It isn’t. My point here isn’t even to argue that we’re winning. I’m at best cautiously-pessimistic-to-neutral about how things are going there.
My only point is that, at the very least, people who complain that good news coming out of Iraq gets shuttered by the press aren’t crazy. I’m a regular denizen of the right-leaning blogosphere (though I spend about half my daily routine with left-leaning sites), and I was unequivicolly shocked when I saw this.

Read the whole thing.
I disagree with the author a bit when he says that he isn’t going to argue that we’re winning. Clearly, these numbers aren’t enough to indicate that we’ve won, but they are certainly enough to indicate that we are winning.
Not to mention the the fact that these numbers support the idea that the information we’re getting from the mainstream media out of Iraq is heavily, heavily slanted toward the negative.

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  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    Trent said, Robert, Hussein never was and never has been an Islamic Fundamentalist. He was a secularist…

     

    Secularist – One who theoretically rejects every form of religious faith, and every kind of religious worship, and accepts only the facts and influences which are derived from the present life; also, one who believes that education and other matters of civil policy should be managed without the introduction of a religious element.

    Saddam Hussien wrote the entire Koran using his own blood. Tell me again how he is a "secularist"?

  • zen_less

    That is the most fallacious conclusion I have ever seen.  It just means the US troops are staying safely inside their compounds while the Iraqis rip each other to pieces.  If no US troop dared show his/her face outside of the Green Zone, obviously none would get hurt.  That wouldn’t mean that we’re any closer to a stable, democratic sel-sustaining society in Iraq.  Quite the opposite.

  • Trent

    But what do we win?

  • robert108

    Craig: Your tortured hypothesis to try to spin the good news into bad is breathtaking;  unfortunately for you, it’s simply untrue.

    MikeA:  You make my point that the lefties are mortally afraid to admit to any good news at all. 

  • Craig

    Our military policy should be set by principle, and then limited by our might; it should not simply be limited by our might.

    However, that is the case today to too large an extent: any policy can be justified, until the point we have too many casualties. The rightness of the policy, the impact on anyone else, are not relevant, or are easily spun.

    Having said that, the number of US casualties can be reduced, without it having any indication of how well the policy or war are working.

    Find foreign troops for some roles, pulll back and let the local casualties skyrocket, put Iraqis at the front line, casualties go down.

    But that doesn’t mean it’s working.

    Say we brought all the troops home, and that Iraq went into total chaos with enormous casualties.

    But zero American troops would be killed, so by the reasoning of the author of this thread, the war would be going great!

    Nonsense. US casualties are only one small factor of how the war is going. While high casualties are a negative, low casualties are only possibly a positive in terms of how the war is going. The poor logic of the right wing seems inexhaustible, but quite exhausting.

  • dave

    "Winning?"

     Tell that to the families of each of those 25 who died — Do they care that it’s the "lowest month of casualties?"  No.

     And, considering you offer ZERO PERSPECTIVE — because you DON’T CARE about the lives of Iraqi’s — why not put up some DEATH NUMBERS that include EVERYONE DYING for W’s Folly.

  • robert108

    Trent:  I would like to believe you, but when you make something out of nothing, it’s difficult.  You don’t wait for proof, you go on supposition.  You also repeat the national Dem talking points, word for word, which is why I consider you a partisan.

    Clinton was convicted in court of perjury and suborning perjury.  Fact.  Nothing made up.  His law license was pulled by a judge for exactly that reason.  He just recently got it back.  Fact.

    I can’t imagine the damage that would have been done to this country by either a Gore or a Kerry presidency.  Clinton was bad enough. 

  • Carter LeBlanc

    Madmatt is entirely correct.

     These statistics provide no context whatsoever. How many troops are engaged in combat duty at this point, more or less? What are the corresponding Iraqi army and police casualties? Where are the bulk of the casualties occuring?

    I seem to recall that a large percentage of casualties were coming from IEDs. We’re probably getting better at detecting, avoiding and adapting to the IED situation (thank goodness!).  To base a statement like that on one single statistic belies a woefully simplistic perspective, and a total ignorace of statistical analysis.

     

    A better way to evaluate the "are we or are we not winning" question in the context of casualty counts would be to include iraqi civilian casualties, insurgent casualties, police casualties, iraqi army casualties, army casualties, private security firm casualties, and non-iraqi civilian casualties.

     

    If all of those numbers are going down then it’s pretty safe to say we’re winning. The exception, of course, is insurgent casualties which might be going up if we are killing more of them, or might be going down because there are less of them.

     

    Essentially, stat numbers don’t tell you much, except in prober context.

     

    -Carter LeBlanc 

  • WOOF

    "Brer Rabbit kept on asking her why she wouldn’t talk and the Tar-Baby kept on saying nothing until Brer Rabbit finally drew back his fist, he did, and blip–he hit the Tar-Baby on the jaw. But his fist stuck and he couldn’t pull it loose. The tar held him. But Tar-Baby, she stayed still, and Brer Fox, he lay low.

    "If you don’t let me loose, I’m going to hit you again," says Brer Rabbit, says he, and with that he drew back his other fist and blap–he hit the Tar-Baby with the other hand and that one stuck fast too.

    Tar-Baby she stayed still, and Brer Fox, he lay low.

    "Turn me loose, before I kick the natural stuffing out of you," says Brer Rabbit, says he, but the Tar-Baby just sat there.

    She just held on and then Brer Rabbit jumped her with both his feet. Brer Fox, he lay low. Then Brer Rabbit yelled out that if that Tar-Baby didn’t turn him loose, he was going to butt her crank-sided. Then he butted her and his head got stuck."

  • madmatt

    The fact that fewer soldiers are getting killed is always wonderful news…do we know if they are going on the same number of missions as they were or have they stopped patrolling and taken to defending fortified positions while the rest of the country goes to hell

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ Seth Yantiss

    ClothMaker: But you seem to be overly offended by spelling.

    Well, spelling and complete sentences allow a thought to be communicated.  Poor spelling and grammar coalesce to ambiguity. 

    But hey, why muddle an unclear debate with opaque reasoning useless drivel in an complex world of fictional subtext and random iterations of tireless meanings and transparent obfuscation –  was that clear? 

    Oh, I know…  let’s all use IM shorthand instead of real words and see how well we communicate. 

  • MikeAdamson

    docdave…I’m not claiming any earth shaking significance, I just found the fact interesting.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    Well..we can see that "clothmaker" is a joker not to be taken seriously.

  • http://www.willisms.com/ Ken McCracken

    Okay, for all you lefties out there who think there is a civil war going on in Iraq, here is a history lesson about what a real civil war is:

    In the Battle of Cold Harbor, May 31, 1864, General Grant lost 3,000 to 7,000 men in about forty minutes.  

    Not to diminish the horrible losses among the coalition troops, Iraqi troops and civilians in Iraq, but in the scale of warfare it isn’t even a firefight over there any more.

  • Clothmaker

    I’ve been chastised way more than a few times for spelling on this blog. Almost each time this chastisation was used as disqualifaction of my argument.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ Seth Yantiss

    ClothMaker incompletely states: Don’t take this to seriously but I’m ready to [SIC]mentaly, [SIC]physicaly, and [SIC]spirtualy with any republican Taoist Yanteezy-aK any day (no late nights…)

    What?????  You’re ready to do what? 

     
    You accuse Bush of not being able to complete a sentence.  HAHAHA!!

  • matt

    Of course casualties are down, we have reduced ground actions and ramped up bombings from the air. To see whether we are winning you’d look to see how our political goals are doing and whether there’s actual security in the country, not look for trends in the incomplete casualty stats. That is, if one were trying to do real analysis instead of political spin.

  • richard

    Hey I am admittedly the worst typer here and for the most part these guys just point it out every now and then. In most cases it is to say hey if we could read your post we might agree with your point. I do not get butt hurt by it. I look at it almost as a compliment if they did not give a shit they would just ignore the post. oh and choose a fucking name and stick to it. I hate that shit too.  

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ Seth Yantiss

    I’ve been chastised way more than a few times for spelling on this blog. Almost each time this [SIC]chastisation was used as [SIC]disqualifaction of my argument.

    From what I have seen, your arguments disqualify themselves through lack of fact, spelling or no.  But blame what you will on what you want.

  • Grantisdeadlonglivegrant

    Using any battle Grant generalled for a comparison of death rates is a bit harsh — the man was a meat grinder!

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    Clothmaker says, Almost each time this chastisation was used as disqualifaction of my argument.

    Huh. I’m thinking your argument might have a little more merit if you didn’t change your name so often, made coherent thoughts, and actually focused on what is said in the thread.

    But that’s just me.

    What do you think hawthorne, HAWTHORN, tuxedoDon, jebb, hawthorne baker, frank tha dank, sorry, manly p jones, this is mike, gotta go, b4 i go, your right and wrong, my mom sent me here, MEDIAoner, dear seth, PEJASOYSAUCE, Clothmaker?

    Btw – what a ridiculous amount of nicknames in the past three days.

  • richard

    Oops almost forgot about the post.

    All the rally around G.W. stuff aside. I think both sides always knew we would eventually turn the tide and winning was never an if question but win, just based on sheer numbers.

    I think the only real arguement was that there wwas no clear cut plan ever laid out. Or in my case, if we are going to send Americans into a conflict send them in to kick ass, not out last.

  • cian

    American lives are nolonger being risked to the extent that they once were, and all should be thankful for that, but disgusted by the fact that more will be sacrificed in the coming years (nobody’s getting out of there for the next three years, Bush said so). Peace through democracy was not the reason this war started and was never mentioned in its lead up for one very good reason- the American people would not have allowed their sons and daughters to die for something so obviously impossible.

  • http://northerngleaner.blogspot.com/ Gene Redlin

    Liars figure and figures lie.  That’s what people say.  But these numbers are wonderful. 

    George W Bush will be seen in history as one of the greatest Presidents this country has ever had.

    Talk about serious gonads.  He’s got em. 

    Now if congress would just unify behind him we would get somewhere. 

     

     

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ Seth Yantiss

    Gene : George W Bush will be seen in history as one of the greatest Presidents this country has ever had.

    I can’t give him that much credit Gene, he’s got some pretty strong competition.  He’s implemented some amazingly bad domestic policies, IMHO…   I just can’t think of him in that light.  I will give him credit for a lot of political positioning and his handling of Saddam.

    He does a terrible job of communicating.  He’s got ethics, morals, and values that he stands by…  but, he’s not the greatest.

    Since History is of the records and the current records are in news papers, history is not likely to be as kind as I am being.

  • robert108

    The main leftie message is still:  cut and run, which guarantees defeat.  Ergo:  they want defeat for the US, but especially for GW. Not so nuanced, really.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    But you seem to be overly offended by spelling.

    Oh, I doubt that anybody here is offended by spelling. Most here make plenty of spelling errors.

    Why would you say it to begin with?

  • robert108

    The American lefties are so completely frightened that GW will get credit for any of his many accomplishments, the foremost being his success in Iraq.  They are so frightened that they keep up this steady barrage of lies about what is going on there, like a child holding his ears and shouting "la la la la la" to keep from hearing the truth.  It’s actually funny to watch.

  • http://www.willisms.com/ Ken McCracken

    Really, guys, those are pathetic attempts to rewrite what is going on.

    zen_less’s "less casualties REALLY means we are losing" spin is particularly laughable.

    And cian, please, do not insult my intelligence.

    The entire goddam operation was called "Iraqi Freedom" so you are completely dishonest when you say "Peace through democracy was not the reason this war started and was never mentioned in its lead up."

  • Joe

    As a liberal myself, I really have to hope that this is correct, and that we are winning.  Success is success, and as much as I don’t like Bush, if he (and the Iraqis!) pull this out, then I will be really happy.  A peaceful, democratic Iraq is in everyone’s best interest.  That being said, I am far from convinced.  I want the Iraqis to form their government.  I want them to disarm the militias.  I want them to stand up, so we can stand down.  I want the reporters to have the safety to go and report on the reconstruction stories, and I want those stories not to make the subject a target.  Again, though, I want to believe that we can succeed.  I tried everything I could do legally to prevent this war, but now that we are there, we better damn well win the peace. 

    I also hope this is resolved before we go to war with Iran – an insurgency behind and an enemy country in front sounds too much like Vietnam for me to be happy.  On the other hand, again, as I said, I don’t like Bush et al., but they do plan wars well.  Peace, not so well.  But combat, they do very well.  I believe that we can beat Iran, with some forethought and planning, which oddly enough, I trust them to do.  They question is, again, what happen afterward?  The evidence to date shows that this bunch doesn’t think that much about such things.  Anyway, I hope I am wrong.  Hooray for positive news!!!

  • http://www.willisms.com/ Ken McCracken

    General Grant was a meatgrinder, eh?

    Stunning admission right there – President Bush is Mahatma Gandhi by comparion then, judged by the low rates of casualties in Iraq.

    We lost more casualties in the Tet Offensive than all of the casualties in Iraq.

    We lost more casualties in one day of the Battle of the Bulge.

    We lost 700 in a single training accident during World War II!

    Liberals, for all their supposed nuance, sure do lack historical understanding (which is why they pander to the dead-enders and doomed movements like Communism).

    I guess when we are down to single-digit casualties, and then no casualties, that will still somehow be a quagmire and a defeat I suppose. 

    Look how so many in this thread pathetically cling to the hope that we are losing, and how they twist and turn to try and convince us it is so.

    They have invested their entire ideology in our defeat.

    and everyone knows we don’t win anything over there anyway. A stable democracy in the middle east is a really worthless, pointless goal that will do nothing for anybody.

     

  • robert108

    I notice the same old leftie lies about "the lack of a plan".  Well, the quickest way to lose a war is to announce your plan ahead of time so the enemy can figure out what to do.  Isn’t that obvious to all you lefties?  Or are you so frightened by any good news from Iraq that you have become completely braindead?  Trying to twist the good numbers into bad news is also quite comical.

  • robert108

    It’s funny;  when you talk ideas to the lefties, they ask for the numbers;  when you give them the numbers, they go into denial.  Quite comical.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ Seth Yantiss

    I think I see WOOF’s point.

    Muddle the discussion with barely poignant quotes until everyone gives up and goes home.

    Either that or WOOF likes game shows.  Guess the story, Woof?  Is that it?

     

  • Andrew

    "Winning?"

     Tell that to the families of each of those 25 who died — Do they care that it’s the "lowest month of casualties?"  No.

    So in order to be winning, we must have zero casualties?

  • jeff

    Indeed, if decreasing numbers of US soldier casualties is the sign we’re winning; make me president and I’ll win the war by the end of the week (by pulling all troops out of Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE…no troops: no casualties….see how that works.  I would however send some of them to Afghanistan to finish that which should have finished 3 years ago. Afghanistan is not, to my knowledge, considered holy land where infidels do not belong so we can probably get away with that. Besides, according to tribal culture rules, when our kin were killed (911) we had not only the right but the obligation to avenge them against the ones responsible. I’m sure it puzzles them all why we haven’t completely done that yet.)

  • lazerlou

    Oh, I’m sure I speak for most liberals in acknowledging that it is great news that fewer Americans are dying. It actually gives me a shred of hope. But what I take issue with is someone saying we are "winning" becasue there is any good news. I’ll even admit it is good news if the same number of people are dying, but just fewer Amercians.  But to cast this conflict as something that can be "won" is pure ignorance. I think the ONLY way we could have "won" would have been for the war to unfold as the Bush administration said it would: That we would walk into Iraq, be greeted with open arms by the Iraqis and to have uncovered the WMD, which was the reason Bush was granted war powers.

    Any attempt at casting the firstgood news in a long time is either really dumb or really disingenuous.

  • MikeAdamson

    Business access may have been quite limited but that doesn’t say too much about their economic activity over the centuries. That many people growing and making things added to modern trading equals big economy.

  • robert108

    MikeA:  I’m actually glad to hear that I’m not nuanced enough for you.  I take that as a sign of manliness.  I should have said:  In war, if you don’t win, you lose.

    jeff:  If the numbers of casualties were increasing, wouldn’t you take that as a sign we were losing?  Nice try at spin, though. 

  • robert108

    More twisting of the good news.

  • Trent

    It’s going even better than you think!  The numbers are actually:

    135, 80, 42…

    Oh wait, that was April to June 2004

     

    My bad, it’s actually 107, 58, 35…

    Damn it, that’s actually January – March 2005

     

    Those numbers showing that we’re winning are somewhere.

     

    16 dead in April?  I thought it was only the 6th?

     

    You’re right.  We are winning.  What do we win?

  • lazerlou

    Robert108

    Your arguments are logical and sound. Your premises infallable. I forgot we are in the "no spin zone." My bad.

    We are winning people! Now 60 Iraqis a day are not dying, just 27 a day by conservative estimates, not counting Americans dead!*

    * GWB himself said at least 30,000 Iraqis have been killed. Ok, divide that by 1095 and you get 27 dead per day!

    "they got a name for the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose"

  • http://magyartruth.blogspot.com/ Chief RZ

    We lost 3,000 in one day:  It was 9/11/01.  There is great potential to loose thousands or millions in one day, and that is just from WMD, let alone undermining our troops, our country and way of life.

    http://magyartruth.blogspot.com/2006/04/enemies-within.html

  • lazerlou

    So three years later, because our military has finally trained Iraqis to start policing themselves and the costs have simply been externalized you think we are "winning?"  Winning and losing probably aren’t the best terms to use for this conflict. It is not as if we can walk into the capital and sign a treaty for the enemy to surrender. But if you are going to throw "winning" out there, it is tough to argue thay anyone wins anything in a war like this, especially if it turns out the police and army we are training are going around killing and persecuting sunni kurds and palestinians. Again, yuo conservatives have a complete inability to think in any nuanced way. All you can seem to do is think and speak in black and white. Will we have won if Iraq suffers from continuing sectarian violence for years and years to come even if we withraw completely? Of course not. Don’t be so simplistic in your analysis, it makes you conservatives look like simpletons.

  • robert108

    Even more leftie twisting of the good news.

  • MikeAdamson

    E…interesting analysis. I find blogs  playing the same partisan role that newspapers and pamphets played in centuries past. Nothing new under the sun I suppose.

    r108…read the darned thing,it’s interesting. 

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    lazerlou said, Again, yuo conservatives have a complete inability to think in any nuanced way. All you can seem to do is think and speak in black and white.

    Ten to one when a liberal says this, they are describing themselves. It has become a part of their lexicon to say "nuanced" and "black and white".

    Will we have won if Iraq suffers from continuing sectarian violence for years and years to come even if we withraw completely? Of course not.

    Why not? There was violence in Germany and Japan for years after World War II. Did we lose there?

    Don’t be so simplistic in your analysis, it makes you conservatives look like simpletons.

    You’re describing yourself again.

  • http://www.themillerreport.com/ Dave W

    I’m no military man, but it seems to me that the days of losing 3,000 troops in any one day may be over.  With long distance warfare as it is, there are few and fewer troops that have to the major dirty work at the beginning of a battle.

  • Epicurus

    MikeAdamson,

    Who exactly won the U.S. Civil War?  By 1877 all the "redeemer" governments of the South had created a nearly quasi-slave regime (less and more successful depending on geographic locale) that made a mockery of the 13th, 14th and 15th amendments.

    Who won the Iran-Iraq war?  Both sides were left bloodied, in possession of the land they started with, and severely weakened in the process. 

    You are very much right; wars are generally not binary affairs (in general they do not resemble the Third Punic War/Genocide).

  • Trent

    Don’t forget about me hating America and rooting for the terrorists.

  • MikeAdamson

    lik said

    Ten to one when a liberal says this, they are describing themselves. It has become a part of their lexicon to say "nuanced" and "black and white".

    That’s because so many defenders of the current Administration think in terms of black and white…I don’t ascribe it to all conservatives by any stretch. 

  • robert108

    gil: I know the truth hurts;  I feel your pain.

    MikeA:  Some things, like war, are black or white.  You either win or you lose.  The truth is, we are winning, and the lefties can’t stand that, so they are casting doubt, twisting, spinning, doing anything they can to keep up their denial, but that dog won’t hunt. 

  • Clothmaker

    Taoists…I hate to waste a space corecting spelling (though D for tao is as valid a translation from chinese as T) But you seem to be overly offended by spelling.

  • robert108

    You can bet your last dollar that if the numbers were increasing, the lefties would be crowing about it, not questioning them.  Double standard, as usual.

  • Trent

    I gotta say, it’s hilarious how all of Robert’s responses refer to "hate-filled lefties" and likwidshoe responds to every point with an insult.

    Expected response: Point out that not ALL of Robert’s responses refer to "hate-filled lefties" and likwidshoe doesn’t use an insult in EVERY response. 

    Likwidshoe, i’ll respond to the one point that doesn’t include the words "garbage, diatribe, self-serving, backwards, unserious, ignorant and ridiculous"

    You talk about the three votes that the Iraqi people voted in. I admit, that’s a great start, but it’s just a start. Democray is far, far more than a (bi)annual vote. At it’s core is respect for the underlying value of law, one that doesn’t result in taking up arms if you don’t like the negotiated result.

    That’s what defines Western democracies. And i just don’t see Iraq coming to that point in the next 20 years. It’s a long, slow slog and it requires the majority of the population to come to that point that law overrides individual passions and the willingness to resort to violence to get their way.

  • lazerlou

    Likwidshoe,

     

    We’re not the ones posting blogs entries saying we’re "winning" because our casualty numbers are decreasing. that is talking in broad strokes without nuance.

     

    And not one American service person died in the line of duty in Japan or Germany after each surrendered.

     

    Comparing this"war" with real wars where real armies fought each other in big battles and airplanes fire-bombed civilians is comparing apples and oranges.

     

     

  • robert108

    Here are some connections with lefties and jihadists; from Jihad Watch:

    Italy: Muslims Told To Vote Communist

    I discuss the Left’s alliance with the jihad in my book Onward Muslim Soldiers. The affinity that Marxists would feel for the jihad is quite clear, despite the atheism of the former and the religious content of the latter. The Great Soviet Encyclopedia has this quite wrong; in its entry on Islam, it says it is just another expression of the religious impulse to transfer justice to the next world and make people content with injustice on earth. But in fact Islam is not this way at all: the jihad aims to establish an earthly polity in which justice is established by force, with draconian punishments for those who do not fall into line. The resemblance to the earthly utopia of the Marxists is unmistakeable, and I do not doubt that this is an important reason why — but not the only reason why — so many Leftists see kindred spirits in the mujahedin.

     

  • MikeAdamson

    r108 said

    Some things, like war, are black or white. You either win or you lose.

    I find your comment shockingly short on nuance. Many wars have winners and losers but some just plain don’t not to mention those that end in pyrrhic victory. You’ve actually made my point. 

  • robert108

    Name one.

  • MikeAdamson

    r108…your earlier comment referencing Jihad Watch indicates that you have written books on Islam. Am I right or does the "I" not refer to you personally?

  • MikeAdamson

    That’s the spirit r108…we all need a good chuckle now and then.

  • robert108

    MikeA:  As I have written before, focusing on Afghanistan to the exclusion of the 800 pound gorilla in Iraq would have been as intelligent as prosecuting the pilots who bombed Pearl Harbor along with the captains of the aircraft carriers from which they took off.  The real enemy was totalitarianism in Japan and Germany.  We did the right thing then, and are doing it now.  "…vague description…"?  That’s a good one!  OBL was a piker in terrorism compared to Saddam Hussein.  No vague description there.  But then, I am not nuanced.  I call the bad guys what they are.  Everyone who supports or defends Islamic fundamentalism is our enemy, as I see it.  That doesn’t include those who really want to co-exist with us.  I am still waiting for them to stand up.  After 9/11, the burden of proof is on them, IMO, to prove that they believe that way.  I won’t assume it;  that would be stupid.

  • robert108

    Trent:  It’s not what Saddam says he is, it’s what he does:

    http://www.captainsquartersblog.com/mt/archives/006687.php 

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    What’s your point WOOF?

  • MikeAdamson

    r108…upon reflection our positions aren’t that far apart. I believe that America should have chased down the perpetrators of the 911 attack and used its economic power,moral standing and military might to stamp out the threat posed by Islamic fundamentalism. You,on the other hand,prefer to cut a wider swath by declaring war,figuratively and actually,on anyone who fits a vague description of the perpetrators,anyone who knows the perpetrators or knows someone who knows someone who knows the perpetrators and anyone who questions your approach to apprehending the perpetrators and mitigating or eliminating the threat posed by Islamic fundamentalism.

  • gil

    Robert.

     

    If all you can come up is this leftist stuff, please get yourself a brain.

     Trent’s point is numbers can be twisted any way you want.

     

  • robert lewis

    My understanding is that your declining casualty numbers may merely indicate that US troops are spending less and less time exposed to hostiles and more and more time on protected bases, resulting is larger and larger portions of Iraq being essentially out of "coalition control".

  • robert108

    BTW, does dancing in the streets at the news of 9/11 fit your defintition of a vague description?

  • robert108

    MikeA:  Here’s another vague description:

    http://vitalperspective.typepad.com/vital_perspective_clarity/2006/04/vital_perspecti.html 

    Trent: He funded the families of suicide bombers, in Palestine, for one.  I’ll link to some more, later.  The connections are coming out of the woodwork these days. 

  • Trent

    <i>I call the bad guys what they are.  Everyone who supports or defends Islamic fundamentalism is our enemy, as I see it. </i>

    Robert, Hussein never was and never has been an Islamic Fundamentalist.  He was a secularist who had no care for Al Qaeda.

  • robert108

    More nonsense from the hate-filled lefties.

  • Clothmaker

    an complex? What are you blithering about? We can go at it short hand IM style or Fyodor D…We’ll have to handle this in the future though as I’m called to bed…I’ve had to change my sleeping habits quite abruptly with a new job sitchy-ation. Don’t take this to seriously but I’m ready to mentaly, physicaly, and spirtualy with any republican Taoist Yanteezy-aK any day (no late nights…)

  • Clothmaker

    Its called Spin the failed Daoist strapped to the wheel of idiocy and win a prize!

  • mynameisjoe

    I’m confused. Do the numbers above just refer to "insurgent" activity or everything. http://icasualties.org/oif/IraqiDeaths.aspx compiles all the so called "confirmed" reports and it has the most civilian deaths occuring last month (I don’t count august because they include the ~1000 people that died during the pilgrimage panic…and since that was just people being crushed and falling I don’t think it should be included in attacks). I personally think we’re doing a great job of targeting the "insurgents" which I guess means baathists/foreign terrorists. From everything I’ve read, we are getting a lot of cooperation in fighting them…it’s the secular fighting that is getting worse — and we are completely staying out of that kind of fighting. The typical most optimistic iraqi blogs (iraqthemodel.blogspot.com and healingiraq.blogspot.com) are getting very dour and pessimistic. Sunnis are being explicitly told by their politicians to not trust government troops/police unless they have an American escort. "Balkanization" is occuring with thousands of Iraqis moving to more homogenous neighborhoods. Our wonderful ambassador who many credit with being one of the only sane parties in the negogiations was just informally boycotted by al-Sistani. All of the stuff I’ve stated is not MSM "opinion/slant" it’s straight from several Iraqi bloggers — the ones that are most pro-American and looking for a bright light anywhere they can find it. We can’t leave because it looks like that would definitely lead to full out civil war and we can’t stay because we’re going to find ourselves in the middle. We have almost won the military portion — we were never really in risk of that — but we’re stuck in a political mess where our sanity counts for little and every mistake is used to rile up the masses.

  • jeff

    MikeA: No, if the numbers were increasing I would say we were losing faster. This war was lost the moment we rolled across the border without a realistic endgame plan and the committment of resources that the generals told the administration they would need to sieze, hold and stabilize the country. The speed at which we were losing increased with disasterous political decisions/miscalculations and the waste of billions of dollars. I just retired from 28 years of service and, hating to sound all Weimar and post-Vietnam, it isn’t the US military which lost this war…it’s the guys in the suits.

  • RASTA?ARABEYEGLASSES

    those are great names huh!!! YOU KEEPN ME OUTA BED…for real this time im out

  • robert108

    Don’t forget Nixon.

  • Eh,

    Having troops in-theatre, but not using them against roving death squads…   What do you call it a "Cut-and-Lurk" strategy?

    Now, don’t get me wrong, the locals tend to get mighty pissed when we raid their amateur execution chambers, and that’s one big hornet’s nest.  To their credit, the local militias seem to focus mostly on just murdering people in other sects.  At least they haven’t re-created Saddam’s rape chambers.  (Who says religion isn’t civilizing.)

    That being said, if the measure of success is how much we drive the insurgancies (take you pick which group’s) out of business, it’s a mighty small victory that we’ve got them using their ammo on each other instead of us…

    Not that I’m complaining.  In a selfish analysis, the world is a place of horror; as long as their not shooting at me and mine, it’s a good thing.

  • Trent

    likwidshoe, no offense, but at what point did we start feeling bullied by a bunch of nomadic, fundamental Wahhabists living in the desert like it’s 800 A.D.?

    And of course the world respected and admired the US.  We fought back the Nazi’s, we fought back Communism, we landed on the Moon, we lead the world’s economy.  And generally the US has been a force for freedom in the world.

    Why wouldn’t the world love America?

    Maybe it’s you who hates America!

    Or maybe it’s you who doesn’t like the rest of the world.

    I’m betting it’s some mix of the two. 

  • Epicurus

    MikeAdamson,

    You should read Matt Welch’s comments on blogging: http://www.reason.com/0604/co.mw.farewell.shtml

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    Wait a minute! Isn’t that the MAIN reason that bin Laden had a beef with the US? The base in Saudi Arabia?

    Right…we should always listen and do what the bullies say so they won’t bother us anymore.

    …and every last shred of goodwill that the world has ever felt towards us.

    Like the world liked us or respected us to begin with. Your differing opinions aside, don’t feed us this bullshit.

  • robert108

    MikeA: It was a direct quote from Jihad Watch, so "I" refers to the guy who runs the site.

  • Trent

    Egh. It’s worked before. I don’t write the idea off out of hat.

    When has it worked before? 

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    Trent said, likwidshoe, no offense, but at what point did we start feeling bullied by a bunch of nomadic, fundamental Wahhabists living in the desert like it’s 800 A.D.?

    I don’t know dude. They just call for my death, attack and kill my friends, treat the most beautiful creature on earth like shit (that’s women), riot and have influence in Western nations over silly insults like Mohammed cartoons, and are working to get WMDs, especially nuclear weapons.

    Bully? Pffft! Who cares?

    And of course the world respected and admired the US.

    And generally – those who respected us still do and those who didn’t, don’t.

    Maybe it’s you who hates America!

    No. I love my country. Beautiful and greatly varied landscape, great people, storied and wonderful history for the most part, etc.

    Or maybe it’s you who doesn’t like the rest of the world.

    No. There are some places in the world I like. Most of the rest of the world is a backwards poverty-stricken shithole and it would be fair to say that I don’t like it.

    I’m betting it’s some mix of the two.

    Well, you lose that bet.

  • Carrick

    http://icasualties.org/oif/IraqiDeaths.aspx compiles all the so called "confirmed" reports and it has the most civilian deaths occuring last month

    The problem is in the definition of "civilian". I’d like to see them break out the insurgent deaths (young adult males) from the general population.  Part of the problem all along is that the insurgents dress like ordinary civilians. Also, I think the 10,000 number is probably too low.  I would hazard a guess that iraqbodycount.org is closer with its 35,000 total deaths.

  • robert108

    Here’s another vague description, from Ace of Spades:

    As Giuliani Testifies As To Horror Of 9/11, Moussaoui Smiles – Ace

     

  • Trent

    First of all, Saddam/Palestinian bombers do not equal Islamic Fundamentalism.  You said you’re against Islamic Fundies.  Great.  But those are in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia.  Let’s head over there.

    Second of all, as far as that article goes, the blog even couches its veracity a few times (further scrutiny, if the translation holds up…)  From what i hear of those documents that took THREE whole years to dig up, they’re all bunk.  We own that country and the majority of the Baath party and we’re only uncovering this stuff now?

    But let’s assume the docs are legit.  As you said, it’s not what Saddam says, it’s what he does.  He might have wanted to attack but he never managed to do anything to to American interests.

    But a lot of people want to hurt American interests and we don’t attack them. People like the UAE and Saudi Arabia who assisted, funded, visited and supported bin Laden.  People like the ISI in Pakistan that supported the Taliban and helped bin Laden escape.

    But i digress.  We shouldn’t let a dangerous madman like Saddam plan and plot to hurt America because it’s only a matter of time, right?

    But that’s right!  We DID take military action for ten years, enforcing enbargoes and no-fly zones in order to prevent him from becoming a threat to the US and the region.  And maybe THAT’S why he never managed to do anything against American interests.

    But  embargoes and the like are for pussies.  And they’re expensive!  Wasn’t it a billion dollars a month to enforce it!?!?  That’s impractical and unrealistic, and just plain dumb.

    It makes much more sense to do a full on invasion of a country and occupy it for over 6 years (since Bush said it’s up to the next president to pull them out) and to set up permanent bases in the Middle East.

    Wait a minute!  Isn’t that the MAIN reason that bin Laden had a beef with the US?  The base in Saudi Arabia?

    And the cost?  Hundreds of billions of dollars, thousands of American lives, tens of thousands of American injured and every last shred of goodwill that the world has ever felt towards us.

    But at least we’re not pussies.  Or spending all that money on the no-fly zone. Such a waste of taxpayers money.

    And I’m the unpatriotic one??!?!  I’m the one that doesn’t love my country?

    I’ve never loved it more. 

  • robert108

    Trent: I never said I was against only Islamic fundamentalists; that was your assumption.  I am against all terrorists, though.  Saddam was definitely a terrorist.

    BTW, we didn’t "invade Iraq";  we deposed Saddam and defeated his army.  Slight difference. 

  • robert108

    So, either way, we are losing.  Nice logic.  Iraq has a constitution for the first time in 5000 years, but we are losing;  Saddam is no longer killing an average of over 60 Iraqis a day, but we are losing.  Nice spin.

  • Trent

    So how does invading Iraq address the problem of people who:

    call for your death, attack and kill your friends, treat the most beautiful creature on earth like shit (that’s women), riot and have influence in Western nations over silly insults like Mohammed cartoons, and are working to get WMDs, especially nuclear weapons.

    I don’t get it.

    If you’re going to talk about freedom and democracy, i’m gonna throw up. These people would vote Death to America!  So the master plan is to thrust them into democracy when they’ve never known it?

  • shingles

    Maybe I shouldn’t have included Ireland and Yugoslavia on that list…but the point was that our civil war was the exception, not the rule.

     

  • Trent

    You need two or more opposing poitical organizations with their own armies vying for control of all or part of the territory.

    So the Shia and Sunni don’t fit this definition?  (Probably because the Kurds make the number three, so it TECHNICALLY can’t be a civil war, eh?)

    I’ll tell you the fundemental difference between the left and right. People on the right just want to win the argument, no matter what. Any tactic, any line of reasoning, any cherry picked facts or bending of the truth. Just win the argument.

    People on the left are much more likely to call it like it is. They are far more likely to acqiesce to a valid point.

    Probably because we’re all weak pussies.

    We’ll argue our strong convictions tooth and nail but sometimes the facts just insist we say, "You might be right" or "I gotta give that to you."

    I can’t think of any time someone on the right has done that. Prove me wrong, i’d love to be wrong of this, but i experience it time and time again. (But watch out. Facts are catching up to the right. Just ask Buckley and Will and Buchanan and Fukuyama.)

    Sure, there are LOADS of pigheaded liberals out there who refuse to acknowledge other viewpoints, but there are few conservatives that actually do.  Because the core of conservatism is the belief in a single line of reasoning that is superior to all others, as opposed to the more pluralistic/relativistic view of liberalism.

    I bring this up because this thread has gone right down that course: Quoting narrow definitions to prove me wrong instead of just discussing the issues at hand. Just trying to be right and never addressing any of the points i’m laying out. Refusing to have a DISCUSSION.

    And this is coming from someone who wrote for a conservative newspaper in college. It’s disheartening. The left used to be the side of irrational and emotional appeals and the right used to be grounded in facts and logic.  The two sides have completely flipped. 

    For me, I’ll continue to stay on the side of logic and reason, whichever side decides to lay claim to them. 

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    I don’t get it.

    Obviously.

    So the master plan is to thrust them into democracy when they’ve never known it?

    Egh. It’s worked before. I don’t write the idea off out of hat.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/ likwidshoe

    Trent asks, When has it [thrust them into democracy when they've never known it] worked before?

    Hold on,..let me ask Captain Obvious.

    He said, "America" and then he mentioned that democracy is actually a misnomer; that it is a republic we are talking about.

    This dumbass tactic of invade and hold elections for people unready for full democracy has never worked and never will work. It was devised in fantasy land and can only work in a Disney/shoot-em-up movie.

    Nice rhetoric! Great way to make sure you’re taken seriously. I would have to ask though: didn’t the three votes where the country came out in droves (over 90% in many precincts) show that the Iraqi people are willing and ready for "full democracy" (actually a republic). Why are you so adament that it won’t and more importantly, can’t work?

    I’ll tell you the fundemental difference between the left and right. People on the right just want to win the argument, no matter what. Any tactic, any line of reasoning, any cherry picked facts or bending of the truth. Just win the argument.

    You’re completely backwards. The rest of your diatribe is garbage.

    We’ll argue our strong convictions tooth and nail but sometimes the facts just insist we say, "You might be right" or "I gotta give that to you."

    Great. We’ll see if you admit Captain Obvious’ point.

    I bring this up because this thread has gone right down that course: Quoting narrow definitions to prove me wrong instead of just discussing the issues at hand. Just trying to be right and never addressing any of the points i’m laying out. Refusing to have a DISCUSSION.

    "Narrow definitions"? It’s called using the correct language. As for "never addressing" your points – pay freaking attention bud. It’s funny that you finish off your self serving diatribe by saying that it is everybody else who is refusing to have a discussion.

    Dupre said, Any and all of GW’s successes are negated when a soldier comes home in a body bag.

    I guess the successes of all wars are then negated because people died in all of them. Great logic there.

    Your infallible GW led us into a war based on premises that have since been proven to be false. No WMDs, no imminent attack on the US.

    "Infallible GW"? That’s just ignorant. As for WMDs, they could have been moved out of the country in the 14 month "rush to war". I wouldn’t discount the possibility. As for "no imminent attack", Saddam’s Iraq was shooting at U.S. planes daily and violating the terms of his unconditional surrender.

    The actions of your GW have resulted in the slaughter of thousands of innocent people. Those people have as much a right to life and the pursuit of happiness as you or I.

    Right, because the Iraqi people were all living with the right to life and the pursuit of happiness before "your GW" went in. How ridiculous and unserious Dupre.

  • Carrick

    Shingles:

    So Civil Wars have to resemble OUR Civil War in order to be considered a Civil War?

    Actually, it would have to resemble a civil war to be classified as one.

    You need two or more opposing poitical organizations with their own armies vying for control of all or part of the territory.  That’s clearly not the case in Iraq.  You still have a central but fragmented government that currently is unable to get its act together, and numerous runaway militias that are playing "tit for tat".

    The most likely long-term consequence of a continued failure of governance on the part of the Iraqis is not civil war, but a "Balkinization" of Iraq.  Not necessarily  better, but picking the right words to describe the situtation at least focusses in on the real issues that we are facing.

  • gil

    Announcement.

     

    Robert "The black and white" Macho man is in surgery getting himself a new brain. The old one was thinking in just "left" and "right" terms, and it was becoming increasingly hard for Rob to walk straight.

    Hopefully he will now understand that disagreements among friends can actually be on issues that have nothing to do with  the left or the right. Hopefully he will now understand that entrenched people on the left or right add nothing to discurse and exchange of ideas…. In fact it kills them. Hopefully he will now understand that there are PLENTY of Republicans from the right that disagree with this war, and that believe that we are in a mess.

    But if Rob still believe that we are winning in Iraq as is his god given right to believe, then fine!!!. Congratulations. Just tell us now when do we get out "victorious", and who pays the bill and let’s GET ON WITH THE VICTORY THING. It’s time to PRODUCE the victory my friend, because we have been TALKING about victory for years now, and as they say TALK IS CHEAP.

     

  • robert108

    Trent: What would you do with them, let them run their agenda unopposed?

  • shingles

    Ken McCracken:  So Civil Wars have to resemble OUR Civil War in order to be considered a Civil War?  Using this loss of 3,000 – 7,000 men as a benchmark means that there really haven’t been that many civil wars ever. Lebanon, England, France, Ireland, Yugoslavia, Sri Lanka, India/Pakistan split, etc., none of these then really count.

    There is only one  Civil War and Ken McCracken is its prophet.

    Cute recitation thing at the bottom, by the ways.  Thanks for reminding me that I have to get to a meeting tonight. 

     

  • Carrick

    Shingles:

    Though, I would think that the days of mass pitched battles are probably over.  Except on movie sets.  And as such, the "civil wars" of the future will resemble this type of messy amorphous conflict.

    I wish that were the case, but there are plenty of counter examples from Africa, where millions of people have been killed. 

    Fundamentally, we may be approaching the "end of history" point, where major conflicts like e.g.. the Chinese Civil War don’t  errupt.  I think this is your point, and after the various factions come to terms, war as we have known it in the last four centuries may become a thing of the past.

    As you point out, balkan-like warfare is generally a result of the creation of new nations, and this is often done with the intent to keep its citizens divided.   This includes Yugoslavia, Iraq, as well as many former colonies in Africa.  Instituting "bipartate or even "tripartate" system is very sick, and quite evil.  And it takes a very long time to ammeleroate the effects of it.

    The problem regionally with allowing Iraq to splinter is the combined issues with Syria, Turkey and Iran.  It doesn’t necessarily get any easier if we simply allow them to split up.  Of course if our real intention is to invade Iran all along, then we need to get Iraq to split up.

    As for why we invaded… well I never was in favor of that to start with, mostly from the "war is chaos" angle and the unpredictability of the outcome, even assuming quick and immediate victory.

    Ultimately we invaded, primarily, because people regarded the Sunni Iraq dominated governmetn a security treat.  Right or wrong, for better or worse, this was the overarching reason.

    Our role in Iraq is one of "yes you can learn to take care of yourselves, but we recognize that you will need help reconstructing all of the infrastructure that Saddam allowed to rust away, and the US bombed away".

  • Trent

    What would you do with them, let them run their agenda unopposed?

    Not at all. Let’s just do it in a way that leads to success.  This dumbass tactic of invade and hold elections for people unready for full democracy has never worked and never will work. It was devised in fantasy land and can only work in a Disney/shoot-em-up movie.

    This problem requires looking at the facts, considering a region’s history and making practical decisions based in reality. Your side has colored that approach as being nuanced and weak. But the fact is, it is the only thing that leads to success.

  • Carrick

    Me:

    You need two or more opposing poitical organizations with their own armies vying for control of all or part of the territory.

    Trent:

    So the Shia and Sunni don’t fit this definition?  (Probably because the Kurds make the number three, so it TECHNICALLY can’t be a civil war, eh?)

    Seems to me the problem is that you aren’t really paying any attention what I am saying.

    People on the left are much more likely to call it like it is.

    Actually, you’re a lot more likely to cling to language that inadequately describes the real situation but gets the "gut punch" emotional impact you’re looking for.  That’s how I see it anyway.

    if it is a civil war, with more than one regional government, and with more than one army, where are the regional capitals for the opposing interests?  When was the last pitched battle between the two opposing armies?  Any civil war I can think of has these characteristics, including the Vietnam War, the Korean War, the Chinese Civil War and so on.  Not all intercine conflict is necessarily a "civil war".

    In any case, just because it’s not a civil war (and it really isn’t), doesn’t mean that the situation isn’t grave there. And I said as much, so you can’t accuse me of trying to hide from the facts.  I make the distinction between the words because "picking the right words to describe the situtation at least focusses in on the real issues that we are facing."

    We may be experiencing the "Balkinization" of Iraq, with the disintegration into seperate non-overlapping states, ethnic cleansing and all of the other inherent problems with that.

    When this happened in the former Yugoslavia, however, nobody quesitoned whether the Croats and Serbs could self-govern.  The problem was very obviously that they had too little in common and too much to gain by being independent. 

    When the same thing appears to be happening in Iraq, all of a sudden they are incapable of self-governance.  This is another common theme on the left.  Nobody can take care of themselves, so we have to do it for them. 

    I’ll put the real problems, as I see them, in Iraq on the table:

    1. Weak central government with too much factionalization
    2. Regional militias that are out of control.

    In order to stave off the collapse of the central government in Iraq, the parties will have to come to an understandiung of common interest, and equally importantly the various mililtias will need to be moved under the control of the central government.  Until that happens, expect continued instability. 

    For me, I’ll continue to stay on the side of logic and reason, whichever side decides to lay claim to them.

    Prove it.  Show me the facts.  And I couldn’t give a flip about what WFB has to say about the war. 

  • richard

    You do not need to just the post above mine from Trent.

    He basically says that all on the right are incapable of looking at a point and maybe after consideration of others views admitting that there may be something to another view.

    I pointed to you as somebody on the right that I have seen say you may have a point there. There are a couple here that you can never get to admit that the sun rises in the east (At least I think it does) but to say all do is well, kind of makinghimself just like those he is accusing of being inflexible. Not everybody fits nicely into a box. 

  • Zsa Zsa

    I am not a big fan of guns. AND, I think gay people should be allowed to get married. IF they are two consenting adult human beings. No animals or children! That seems to trigger some rather interesting debate at my house…

  • MikeAdamson

    Thanks robert.

  • MikeAdamson

    Trent…as one who has a little experience butting heads with the local conservatives,I feel your pain. OTOH,if you go to some of the liberal sites you will often see the same attitude except in reverse of course. This leads me to believe that the variable is not left/right but the degree of partisanship involved. Those that are wedded to political positions can’t see any logic in opposing views while those whose positions are informed or tempered by pragmatism will at least allow the possibility that there is more than one way to look at an issue.

    Folks who are more partisan tend to be more interested in political blogs than folks who are less so its not surprising that you run into the situation that you describe. I have seen conservative opinions adjusted here just as my own views have changed as a result of discussions at SA so it does happen. If nothing else,you should stay for the door prizes and free snacks.

  • robert108

    Dupre: Brush up on your current events.  More and more documents are coming out about the connections of Saddam with world terrorism and attacks on the US.  Turns out that Saddam believed he had WMDs.  Yes, Al Qaeda just sprang into existence when we deposed Saddam’s brutal torture regime.  Your rap is pathetic.

  • richard

    I do not want to speak for rob however, I think he has said that he considers himself more in line with the right and I have seen him do it, and I think he can provide a ton of examples of others here who have

     

  • shingles

    Carrick:

    You’re right, ‘Balkanization’ is probably a better term.
    Mainly because its cooler sounding.

    Though, I would think that the days of mass pitched battles are probably over.  Except on movie sets.  And as such, the "civil wars" of the future will resemble this type of messy amorphous conflict.

    A couple other quick thoughts -  not sure if you can squarely lay the idea that "nobody can take care of themselves, so we have to do it for them" onto the left.  It sounds nice ideologically, because its often true, but not necessarily in this instance (with regards to Iraq).  Who, after all invaded?  Why are we there?  Aren’t we, in a sense, doing it for them?

    Also, you say that the weak central government is part of the problem.  Possibly.  But what if the problem is the artificiality of Iraq instead.  Maybe "balkanization" is what the place needs:  Its about time the Kurds had a state of their own.  Let the Shiites have the south.  And the Sunnis can have the wonderful wasteland in the middle.

     Just some thoughts from my tired work weary brain.

     

  • richard

    Yeah that shit really gets under my skin. I am so in the middle it is not even funny. Maybe it is just that I am too much of a wuss. I have met very few people that a truly all right or all left. Unfortunately I have met many that feel they have to put somebody in that box to "make" their points though. Trent’s post was just another example of that just coming the other way. 

  • Epicurus

    MikeAdamson,

    I have to admit that would be rather funny if he attacked Matt Welch as a "lefty." 

  • robert108

    You’re not agreeing with anything I wrote.  As far as "curves and potholes" are concerned, the desperate lefties in the Dem Party and the MSM have ratcheted up the level of lying to a very high degree, but the truth will always come out, even if it has to be declassified.

  • MikeAdamson

    Carrick…I think your definition of a civil war is too restrictive. The War of the Roses is a civil war that wouldn’t qualify according to your description. Something to think about.

  • gil

    Shungles & Carrick

    Nice conversation and excahnge of ideas. Sounds to me like smart comments.

    Iraq is indeed very much like the old Yugoeslavia with one major diference … Oil……

    It was fullish in my opinion to risk a war in this region. Wars tend to bring the "law of unintended concequences", and we are witnessing a classic example of such law. Bush Sr could have invaded Iraq in no time at all. The old Bush did not do it simply because he would not risk the well being of our nation in some trow of the dice. Jr. on the other hand turned out to be a gambler… with our money, and the lives of our man in uniform… And he is loosing the bet…. And we will pay the price.

    Iraq will split up indeed. The only question is if the split will turn from civil war into a regional war with catastrophic economic consecuences for the entire world. 

    The Kurds in the North will not go back to Iraq. They have lived independently from Iraq for over a decade. Their schools do not even teach in Arabic any longer. The Kurds will never give up their massive militia (The Pashmerga). The only way they will agree to take part in a "Coalition Government" is if they are given Regional Authonomy, control of Kirkuk, and the oil revenues that their region produces.

    The Shiite will want to take control of Iraq, but will find it impossible with the Sunni minority feeling threatened and fighting a war of attrition with them. They will increasingly turn to Iran for help. This is whay I say it can turn into a Regional war.

    The coalition government even if it is finally formed will not last very long. Iraq is to divided.

    As for our troops, they are being pull out quietly. Today we have 30,000 less soldiers than last year. The startegy of this administration is to PR the war until they run out the term.  

  • robert108

    The MSM isn’t partisan????

  • Dupre

    robert108 said:

    The American lefties are so completely frightened that GW will get credit for any of his many accomplishments, the foremost being his success in Iraq.  They are so frightened that they keep up this steady barrage of lies about what is going on there, like a child holding his ears and shouting "la la la la la" to keep from hearing the truth.  It’s actually funny to watch.

    ——————————

     Any and all of GW’s successes are negated when a soldier comes home in a body bag.  Why?  It’s because GW started a war based on faulty intelligence with the prodding of men, such as Dick Cheney, who promoted a war in Iraq even before he took office.

     Your infallible GW led us into a war based on premises that have since been proven to be false.  No WMDs, no imminent attack on the US.

     Now he justifies the war because we are fighting terrorists there…as if the terrorists were there before we showed up.  They weren’t….not any more than the terrorists are HERE.  The terrorists are in Iraq because WE are in Iraq.  We didn’t kill THOUSANDS of innocent Iraqis because the country harboured terroists.

     The actions of your GW have resulted in the slaughter of thousands of innocent people.  Those people have as much a right to life and the pursuit of happiness as you or I.  Explain to them how we went in for phantom WMDs and stay now to fight terrorists who weren’t there before we were.

     Dupre

  • MikeAdamson

    r108…when you put it that way then we might be neighbours although if we’re judging based on the sweep of history then I would say that your founders were quite radical. Individual freedom and democracy don’t enjoy  long histories…relatively speaking of course.

    BTW…did you know that China had the top GDP for the first 18 centuries AD? I found that interesting. 

  • robert108

    It provides a modicum of balance, that’s why.  Can’t you figure that out?  On your side: CBS, NBC, CNN, ABC, MSNBC, CNBC and PBS.  On our side, part of Fox.  Any questions?  BTW, your side is equivalent to "Pravda", in the sense of representing the Soviet point of view, not in its meaning, which is "truth".  That would be our side.

  • MikeAdamson

    r108 asked

    The MSM isn’t partisan????

    Some outlets are more partisan than most but the majority aren’t…they’re more interested in the bottom line than winning hearts and minds.

  • robert108

    I never said "infallible";  that’s your invention. 

  • robert108

    Doom and Gloom(with bad spelling).  "Hooked on Phonics" strikes again.

  • robert108

    Trent: If you have been reading the leftie blogs, you would see that they are starting to advocate violent action to further their leftie agenda.  What do you make of that?

  • Trent

    Can someone answer me on why the right is the most vocal about how horrible partisan the MSM is but they have no problem with FoxNews being the Pravda of the Republican Party?

  • robert108

    Trent:  One by one:

     "i’m a fierce moderate."  Please explain.

     "So you think we’re all batshit crazy and we all think you’re batshit crazy."  Your words, not mine.

    "But Robert, it’s a false premise to assume that you’re side if right and we’re all wacko un-Americans, something i strongly resent."  I said specifically that I considered the national Dems to be anti-American, but individual dems were another matter.  Didn’t you read that?

     "First off, we call it warrantless wiretapping."  It’s not wiretapping, it’s monitoring of microwave frequencies.  Not as good for a soundbite, but true.  That was my exact point.  In the lust for a "Get the President" soundbite, the MSM lies.  In time of war, and partisan security leaks, oversight can be fatal.  That is why the President has executive powers in time of war.  The national Dems can’t be trusted when it comes to security.  They would rather have a juicy soundbite for their political agenda.  They have proved this time and time again.

     "cannot rule out the possibility", "apparantly", "intimation";  there you go again.  Nothing solid, but since it agrees with your agenda, you convict the President out of your lust for control and power.  This is the essence of partisanship.

    " the guise of "war on terror"".  The war on terror is real.  Another partisan giveaway.  You would deny what is painfully obvious just to have something else with which to Get the President.  That’s the anti-American agenda showing itself again.

    I don’t believe in the values that lead your side to declare a jihad against our President.  I hold that to be anti-American, especially in time of war.  You people seem to hate our President more than you hate Saddam Hussein, and that is very revealing. 

    MikeA:  Thought you would enjoy that.  I meant somewhere in the middle between extreme left(anarchy) and extreme right(dictatorship/monarchy), of course.  I do think the founding principles of America are rather moderate, though.  Not in the leftward-distorted political discourse of the day, but over the sweep of history. 

     

     

  • MikeAdamson

    r108 said

    As a conservative, I am a moderate.

     

  • robert108

    I know that is your view, since you are a leftie partisan.  Their reporting is heavily biased to the left.  Check our NewsBusters.com sometime.  They use the words of the MSM plus videos to make their points.

  • Trent

    This country needs to get past this "partisan leftie" and "right wing extremist."  It’s a sham that’s been created by politicians to create divisiveness and ensure votes. The truth of the matter is, most people are moderates. Call me a partisan leftie all you want, but i’m a fierce moderate. If the Dems were in power and behaving the way the Republicans are now, i’d be criticising them as well.

    So you think we’re all batshit crazy and we all think you’re batshit crazy. Makes for good pundit shows but it’s terrible for the country and i think we’ve been suffering the effects of it.

    But Robert, it’s a false premise to assume that you’re side if right and we’re all wacko un-Americans, something i strongly resent. Dems are not un-American, they are fiercely patriotic and love their country without question.

    Can you find "leftie wackos" that don’t? Sure. They are the left’s equivalent of neo-Nazi militiamen doing military drills in the woods, advocating the murder of SCOTUS judges. Or the religious wackos who really do want to establish a Christian theocracy in the US.

    But i don’t lump you in with them, so don’t lump me (or Dems in general) in with them, ok?

    As for the MSM:

    Calling the monitoring of the frequencies used to place calls to and from know Al Qaeda telephones is called "domestic spying", "wiretapping" and "eavesdropping" in the MSM.

    First off, we call it warrantless wiretapping. Second of all, if it’s only Al Qaeda telephones, we WANT them to be wiretapped. But there needs to be oversight, oversight that is derived directly from the Constitution. The oversight is needed to prevent abuse and there have been a lot of evidence that these warrantless actions are crossing a line.

    Just yesterday Gonzales said that he cannot rule out the possibility that US to US phone calls are not being tapped.  AT+T is apparantly giving bulk rights to tap any communication. And there’s even intimation that the Administration thinks that they have the right to do physical searches of private property without a warrant.

    Without a warrant. WITHOUT A WARRANT Robert! Warrants are a fundamental right in the Constitution. Warrants are one of the things that the founding fathers went to war for. Warrants are are one of the pillars of modern democracies.

    Do you want to live in a country where the government has the right to do anything they want under the guise of "war on terror" and you have no recourse to object or no ability to restrict their actions?

    Is that the kind of American values that you believe in?

  • robert108

    The partisanship.  I didn’t mean it as criticism, just stating a fact.  You don’t see the bias in the MSM because you agree with their point of view.  One example:  Calling the monitoring of the frequencies used to place calls to and from know Al Qaeda telephones is called "domestic spying", "wiretapping" and "eavesdropping" in the MSM.  That is lying to serve their agenda of "Get the President".  If you want to get the President, you don’t notice the bias, because you agree that the President is bad, so the nicetie that the labels are untrue just doesn’t matter.  The end justifies any means.  I call you a leftie partisan because you don’t see the bias of the MSM. 

    As a conservative, I am a moderate.  Righties are those who advocate military dictatorship or theocratic dictatorship.  There are very few of them in this country.  I advocate the founding principles of this country.  It is only from the leftie partisan point of view that you consider me a "rightie partisan".

    The Republicans and Democrats used to have conservative, liberal and moderate elements within their parties.  IMO, the national Dems have been veering sharply to the left since Carter.  There are almost no real conservative or moderate Dems left in the national party structure anymore.  From the leftie perspective now, Republicans are all "right-wing extremists", but that is another lie.  Their going left(centralized govt, higher taxes, anti-business regulations-the general embracing of European socialism) does not automatically make those who disagree with them "right-wing".  I’m not wild about the Republican Party, but it is at least somewhat in line with basic American values.   I consider the Dems to be anti-American, at least on the national level.  Individuals are another matter.

  • robert108

    NewsBusters.org

  • Trent

    If you have been reading the leftie blogs, you would see that they are starting to advocate violent action to further their leftie agenda.

    First of all, it would take 5 minutes of the Free Republic site to find someone advocating violence.  But i don’t use that to paint all conservatives as violence prone.  They’re just nutjobs and they exist on both sides.

    Having said that, my point is that Americans do not resort to violence to resolve political disputes. It just doesn’t happen.

    Second of all, why do you call me a leftie partisan, as if it is a criticism, when you’re undeniably a rightie partisan?

    What’s the difference between being a leftie partisan and a simple liberal or conservative or simple Democrat or Republican?

  • Tom Paine

    The drop in US casualties has more to do with US troops hunkering down and pursuing less active operations than any winning of the war.  US troops are increasingly irrelevant to the civil war in Iraq – the people formerly attacking us now are going after their internal enemies because the see US forces as powerless to affect the civil wars outcome.

  • Trent

    People on the left don’t view CNN, NBC or any of the others as particularly left-leaning.  (PBS being an exception.) If anything, they are viewed as mouthpieces of the corporate interests, which is essentially the conservative viewpoint.

    Come on, CNBC is liberal??? 

    What exactly do you see as being the liberal aspects of all of those networks? Because i just don’t see it.

  • MikeAdamson

    Doesn’t that seem a little bit odd to you?

     
    r108…that’s why the wise man uses numbers judiciously and his common sense constantly.

  • Trent

     "cannot rule out the possibility", "apparantly", "intimation";  there you go again.  Nothing solid, but since it agrees with your agenda, you convict the President out of your lust for control and power.

    Wrong. It’s not because these thing fit with my agenda, it’s because they offend my sensibilities as an American. I’m not out to get the President with any concocted issue because I don’t like him or because he’s a Republican. It’s starts with my serious objections with his policies and the damage that they are doing to this country.

    This didn’t start with me not liking him. It started when he exhibited his incompetence. 

    And going by the polls that went from 80% approval after 9/11 to 35% now, most of America have gone through the same thing. 

    And by the way, it’s your party that makes shit completely out of nothing to take down a President to further their own partisan goals. That’s what we witnessed in the 90′s.

  • Bat One

    "So you think we’re all batshit crazy and we all think you’re batshit crazy."

    Trent,

    I object to your linguistic liberties here.  Could you manage to find a more impersonal characterization for the loonies on either side, please.  Thanks,

    Bat One 

  • http://magyartruth.blogspot.com/ Chief RZ

    Thomas  Paine wrote "common sense" –   Joined the army and argued for a Republican form of Government under a constitution.

    What basis do you type that American troops are "hunkering down".  Those words are demeaning to our warriors. 

    http://www.michaelyon-online.com/wp/the-full-picture.htm

     http://magyartruth.blogspot.com/2006/04/enemies-within.html

    Spreading words like that are not helpful to our Global War on Terrorism.

    Charles Krauthhammer addresses the term civil war

    http://www.townhall.com/opinion/columns/charleskrauthammer/2006/03/24/191137.html

  • robert108

    Like I said, the conclusion is forgone with the lefties.  According to them, any facts verify their scenario.  That isn’t common sense, it’s prejudice.

  • robert108

    MikeA:  If the number of casualties were going up, that would be a bad sign;  since the numbers are going down(in all categories) that is now considered a bad sign by the lefties.  Doesn’t that seem a little bit odd to you?  Sounds like the lefties are interpreting any news according to a preset scenario.  Just a thought.

  • robert108

    MikeA:  Of course, "radical" simply means "to the root"(from L. radix, root);  it doesn’t signify left, right or center.  I guess you could have a radical centrist, but it’s not likely.  Trent did call himself a fierce moderate, though.  Interesting.

    I doubt there are any good figures to back up the thing about China, but it makes sense, since they were doing business when the rest of us were living in caves, but on the other hand, GDP is not a concept in monarchial economics, since there is little or no production, at least in the sense we know it. 

  • MikeAdamson

    I do agree that today’s conservatives have difficulty adapting to changing circumstances. Things were fine during Bush’s first term but the second has featured so many curves and potholes that conservatives don’t seem to know if they’re coming or going.

    It is much easier getting to the top than staying there. 

  • MikeAdamson

    docdave…this doesn’t mention as specific a timeframe as I’ve claimed but it does support my point generally. This also describes the size of the Chinese economy centuries ago though again I don’t have proof for my 18 centuries reference. This is interesting without validating my claim…still looking for the piece that I read.

  • Dervin

    While the numbers are good, is this due to the Terrorists/Insurgents/Saddamists getting killed or quitting or is this due to a shift in method on their part. I guess killing Americans are fullfilling to these scum, but are they able to accomplish more by killing a schoolteacher than 5 or 10 US Soldiers?

  • Earl F. Parrish

    The causalty numbers are lower because the coalition forces are not patrolling as much.  If you do not drive past the improvised explosive devices, you do not get blown up.  You cannot have an insurgency against a foreign occupier.  Insurgencies are waged against the "legitimate government."

  • MikeAdamson

    docdave…I read the information here although the site is password protected. If I can’t find it free somewhere then perhaps I can mail email the report to you.

  • robert108

    MikeA:  Sorry, I was referring to gil’s post, not yours.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com robport

    Richard, I haven’t read this whole thread… what do I consider myself?

    Trent, is this the point at which, having failed to make an convincing argument, you take your ball and go home? 

  • http://sayanythingblog.com robport

    Ah, Richard, I see what you’re talking about now.

    Personally, I just try to be true to my ideals.  I am, undoubtedly, a "right winger."  But I don’t fit into that box perfectly.  I am an atheist, for one thing, and I routinely end up siding against Republicans (lately anyway) on issues like illegal immigraiton, entitlements and spending.

    Someone will always come along and try to lump me in with everyone else on my "side," but that’s just an indication of someone who doesn’t have anything better to say. 

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