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Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Senator Byron Dorgan Lies About Oil Markets

Byron Dorgan, ever the crusader against evil oil companies and their nasty profits (he forgets how many people probably have their retirement investments with companies like Exxon), is complaining about the 70,000 - 80,000 barrels of oil a day we’re putting in the national strategic oil reserve.  He thinks this is having a significant impact on the price of oil.

(WASHINGTON, DC) --- The Department of Energy faced sharp questions at a committee hearing in Washington Tuesday from Senator Byron Dorgan (D-ND), who wants them to stop taking oil off the market and putting it underground in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

“At $100 a barrel it makes no sense for the Administration to be putting 70,000 – 80,000 barrels of oil a day underground in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. That puts upward pressure on both oil prices and gas prices,” Dorgan said. “One of the expert witnesses, who previously testified before the Energy Committee, today estimated that taking oil off the market, especially light sweet crude; these actions have increased the price of oil by as much as $10 a barrel.”

First, let’s keep in mind that oil flows out of the strategic oil reserve as fast as it flows in.  Unless the size of the reserve itself is being expanded, the daily purchases of oil are done to keep the supply up as older oil in it is shipped out.  Much as with any product, the reserves can only be stored for so long and need to be kept fresh.  Thus some of the older reserves are sold to be used in the market while new reserves are purchased to keep the supply at the level mandated by Congress and the President.

This means that the SPR’s impact on the market is essentially neutral.  The Department of Energy lets as much out as is put in unless the overall size of the reserve is being expanded.  But that isn’t happening right now.

Second, let’s also keep in mind that 70,000 barrels of oil is a drop compared to overall US oil consumption.  Our country uses approximately 20 million barrels of oil a day.  Even if that 70,000 barrels of purchased oil didn’t have a neutral impact on the market (as I just explained) it would still represent just 0.35% of overall oil purchases in a day.

For anyone to say that minuscule amount is driving up oil prices as much as $10 a barrel is ludicrous.  If Senator Dorgan was a stupid man I’d just say he’s mistaken, but he’s not a stupid man so there’s nothing to conclude except for the fact that he’s lying to us.

And he’s not even lying to us for a good reason either.  All he’s doing is grandstanding.  He knows people spend a lot of time grumbling about oil prices, so by railing against the SPR he appears to be doing something about those prices.  Even if the thing he’s railing about has no impact on the market prices of oil.

Comments

Rob,

I have little regard or respect for Byron Dorgan.  But I think your accusation that he is lying about the oil markets is probably an overstatement.

Perhaps you know better, but I honestly don’t believe that Dorgan is smart enough to know the difference.  Fact is, what Dorgan knows about economics in general and markets in particular, could be easily written on the back of a business card with a large Sharpie.


“Poverty of goods is easily cured; poverty of the mind is irreparable.”

Bat One on February 27, 2008 at 12:18 pm

Opponents of ANWR (which Dorgan is one of) say that that additional million barrels a day coming down from Alaska won’t affect the price of energy we pay.

So how does a 14th less of that affect the price?

I didn’t think we were taking oil out of the reserve.  Are you sure about that Rob?


The Debate is over!  Global Whining has been confirmed.


The Whistler's signature
The Whistler on February 27, 2008 at 12:23 pm

Bat One and Whistler nail it.  A million barrels daily won’t help, but 70,000 hurts that badly?  And does he know he’s completely illogical/wrong here, or not?

That said, Dorgan is correct on one thing; it’s insane that government is indulging a “strategic petroleum reserve” and spending money to manage it.

BTW, why is it important to keep it cycling through? I thought petroleum was supposed to be stable for millenia.  Did the geologists mislead me again?  :^)

Bike Bubba on February 27, 2008 at 01:08 pm

I missed Rob’s link where it showed that we were taking oil out while we’re putting it in.  Wow what a government boondoggle.

But I do know that Algore claimed he invented the national strategic oil reserve that was established before he was in Congress.


The Debate is over!  Global Whining has been confirmed.


The Whistler's signature
The Whistler on February 27, 2008 at 02:35 pm

Byron has investmnts in these.

GLAXOSMITHKLINE PLC GSK 4.42 -5.97
PFIZER INC PFE 4.26 3.07
DOW CHEMICAL DOW 3.46 -1.90
SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY STX 3.13 -21.87
OCCIDENTAL PET OXY 3.06 -11.79
MARATHON OIL CORP MRO 3.06 -22.15
ALTRIA GROUP INC MO 2.65 0.16
CHEVRON CORP CVX 2.65 -10.56
CONOCOPHILLIPS COP 2.58 -9.12
SEMPRA ENERGY

What a hypocrite!

Kevin on February 27, 2008 at 02:56 pm
Avatar for Rick J

Two words-term limits!  It is time for Mr. Dorgan to move on. JMO

Rick J on February 27, 2008 at 04:41 pm
Avatar for Bill

Maybe I am misreading this but it would looks like the US has 698.7 million barrels of oil and added 1.4 MB in January and plans to get to the authorized limit of 1 billion barrels. http://www.fe.doe.gov/programs/reserves/index.html

While I agree that what ~45000 b a day is not going to have much impact on the market, I don’t see that where we are removing the same amount that we are adding and while I am not an crude oil specialist I was under the impression that all crude was already millions of years old and I don’t see how a few decades would have that much impact.

Bill on February 28, 2008 at 06:30 am
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