Poll: Romney Leads Obama 54% To 40% In Rasmussen Poll

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Written By:
Rob Port

Oct 22, 2012
3:53pm

Rasmussen has released polling results for the presidential race here in North Dakota, and not surprisingly Obama is way behind Romney. Among likely voters Romney has a 54% to 40% lead over Obama. Among the 87% of North Dakota voters who say they’ve already made up their minds, the race is Romney 59%, Obama 41%.

McCain won North Dakota by 8 points in 2008, 53% to 48%, meaning Romney is outperforming him by a bit now in 2012.

More interesting, perhaps, than the presidential results is the fact that Rasmussen will no doubt soon be releasing results from this same poll for the state’s hotly contested Senate race between Rick Berg and Heidi Heitkamp. We don’t have anything on that just yet, but since the partisan break down of a Forum Communications poll showing Berg with a 10 point lead under Heitkamp has come under fire by Democrats, it may be instructive to look at the break down Rasmussen is using.

The Forum poll had a sample made up of 19% Democrats. Rasmussen included 26% Democrats, seven points higher. Then again, the Forum poll also had a 35% Republican sample compared to a 43% sample in the Rasmussen poll, so maybe it’s moot.

That could mean Rasmussen is going to show a much tighter race than the Forum poll. Just how tight we’ll see, but even chopping seven points off of Berg’s 10 point lead in the Forum poll would still lead him with a three point lead over Heitkamp.