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Monday, May 05, 2008

Obama Still Smarting From Controversy Over His Spiritual Adviser

Ouch:

The erosion of support among Democrats and independents raises the stakes in Tuesday’s Indiana and North Carolina primaries, which represent a chance for Obama to reassert his claim to a Democratic nomination that seems nearly in his grasp. A defeat in Indiana and a close finish in North Carolina, where he’s favored, could fuel unease about his ability to win in November. Such results also could help propel Hillary Rodham Clinton’s uphill campaign all the way to the Democratic convention in August.

In the USA TODAY survey, taken Thursday through Saturday, Clinton leads Obama among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents by 7 percentage points, the first time in three months she has been ahead. Two weeks ago, before the controversy over comments by Jeremiah Wright reignited, Obama led by 10 points.

I think the more important question here isn’t so much “Can Hillary still win?” but “Is Obama mortally wounded?”

Because right now I’m beginning to think that even if the guy pulls it out and gets the Democrat nomination he’s still too dinged up to pull off a national victory.  I don’t like Hillary any more than I like Obama, but from the Democrat perspective if they want their party in the White House they’re kidding themselves if they think Obama’s the guy to do it.

Comments

Avatar for Rob B.

I think Obama is the more beatable of the two because of Wright, his thin record and Rezko. That being said, I’d still perfer to see Hillary get the Dem nod.

I think that the long term impact on the Democratic party of having Hillary be the “come from behind” candidate will stir up a lot more dissent among those who use race as thier key lever in identity politics. Hopefully, the black community will take a step back and look at the democratic party critically enough to see that they’re interest are aligned with the gay community, the enviromental community and the anti-capitalistic community. Those 3 groups are not aligned all that well with thier ideals.

Rob B. on May 5, 2008 at 10:22 am
Avatar for Hannitized

I don’t like Hillary any more than I like Obama, but from the Democrat perspective if they want their party in the White House they’re kidding themselves if they think Obama’s the guy to do it.

Yeah, but you were saying that while his numbers were up as well.

You would have some credibility here if you were at least half way honest in this whole thing.

Quit pretending that you are merely giving your take on the matter based on current events.  No matter what the reality, you would be making the same prediction.

Hannitized on May 5, 2008 at 11:01 am

“Now it’s our party: we bought it, we own it, and we’re going to take it back.”
- Eli Pariser, Executive Director, MoveOn.org

Barack Obama isn’t just the “black” candidate in this race.  He is the “progressive” candidate, the candidate of those on the Left who view a restoration of the Clinton Dynasty with the same alarm and disgust as they did the Bush incumbency in 2004. 

That Barack Obama is an inexperienced rookie with no record of substantive accomplishment, no executive or managerial experience, and a growing list of alarming philosophical and associational negatives means nothing to the self-styled “progressive” Left.  All that matters are ideological purity and an ever-tightening grasp on the reins of power.

If the Democrats were to give the nomination to Hillary now, no matter how practical a move that might be, the Democrat Party would be rent asunder for at least another generation.


“Poverty of goods is easily cured; poverty of the mind is irreparable.”

Bat One on May 5, 2008 at 11:12 am
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Quit pretending that you are merely giving your take on the matter based on current events.  No matter what the reality, you would be making the same prediction.

RPDS strikes again!



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 5, 2008 at 11:20 am

Yeah, but you were saying that while his numbers were up as well.

H,

That’s what is known as consistency.  And as it happens, Rob’s analysis is correct.  Obama, given his lack of experience, and his questionable judgement, has always been the weaker of the two candidates.

You would have some credibility here if you were at least half way honest in this whole thing.

In your eyes, H, perhaps, but the fact remains there are far more people who share Rob’s judgment of Obama’s weakness as a “not-ready-for-prime-time” national candidate than agreed with the messianism of the “progressive” Left.

Quit pretending that you are merely giving your take on the matter based on current events.

This statement makes absolutely no sense.  Rob’s original post did not suggest that his view of Obama is based merely “on current event.” In fact, your very first sentence makes clear that Rob was “saying that when (Obama’s) numbers were up.”

Are you seriously accusing Rob of trying to refute the very consistency that you’ve accused him of?  No wonder you have difficulty getting people to take your comments seriously!


“Poverty of goods is easily cured; poverty of the mind is irreparable.”

Bat One on May 5, 2008 at 11:35 am

Radio announcers are starting to talk about the rumors that Hillary is gay. Last night one was talking about the DC Madam and one of her hookers committing suicide and also mentioned the large number of people who have died mysterious deaths after being involved with the Clintons.

Obama will win this unless the neocons steal it somehow. 2/3 of the people voting are Democrat and a good chunk of the remaining Republican voters are Ron Paul people who plan to vote 3rd party after they get their say at the convention.

ews48 on May 5, 2008 at 03:20 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

This statement makes absolutely no sense.  Rob’s original post did not suggest that his view of Obama is based merely “on current event.” In fact, your very first sentence makes clear that Rob was “saying that when (Obama’s) numbers were up.”

Well, if you want to pretend that Rob isn’t pretending to postulate for the first time, that is your choice.  But may I remind you of his comment;

I think the more important question here isn’t so much “Can Hillary still win?” but “Is Obama mortally wounded?”

Because right now I’m beginning to think that even if the guy pulls it out and gets the Democrat nomination he’s still too dinged up to pull off a national victory.

Did you miss that the first time you read it Bat?

Are you seriously accusing Rob of trying to refute the very consistency that you’ve accused him of?  No wonder you have difficulty getting people to take your comments seriously

Robs words choice doesn’t match up with your argument Bat.  The words “Because RIGHT NOW, he is BEGINNING TO THINK???

So as you can see.  Rob is trying to pretend that he is weighing in, fairly, on the facts on the ground....at the moment.  But why would he bother asking the question if he already has made up his mind? 

I mean, cmon BAT, how could you even make this argument?

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 11:50 am
Avatar for Hannitized

Oh, and by the way Bat.  This proves the reason people don’t take me seriously is because they really can’t read the words in front of their face correctly and walk away with the proper understanding of what they just read.  Yourself included.

I don’t expect an apology or an admission that I was right.  But it would go a long way in restoring your credibility.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 11:54 am

Eunichized,

Who (besides “blackwater"boob, our other short bus riders, and possibly your mother) does take you seriously?

Anyone?


Out Here
Rodney G. Graves

Ceterum censeo Parthia esse delendam
Latin: “Furthermore, Parthia (Persia aka modern day Iran) should be destroyed.”

Rodney Graves on May 6, 2008 at 12:10 pm

I don’t expect an apology or an admission that I was right.  But it would go a long way in restoring your credibility.

And a good thing it is, too!

In the first place, there is nothing for me to apologize for here (although you should take note of my instant apology to Rodney earlier for being unaware that he had put up a similar post before mine).  And I have certainly gone to great pains to point out those few previous instances when I believed you to be correct (NB - you are not entitled to the word “right”!)

As for credibility, I am quite proud of that particularly sturdy appendage, and to be honest the very last thing it needs is “restoration.” Despite my advancing age, I exercise it vigorously and often, and if it were any more sizable I believe my partners would find the experience not nearly so pleasing, but instead almost too painful to endure.


“Poverty of goods is easily cured; poverty of the mind is irreparable.”

Bat One on May 6, 2008 at 12:12 pm
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Hannitized’s argument boiled down to three letters: Wah!



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 12:23 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

Bat,

In the first place, there is nothing for me to apologize for here…

Well, it sure looks like you attempted to insult me after you completely missed my argument, due to your oversight.

That seems like a good enough reason as any.

Do you seriously think that the statement below does not represent a position that Rob is postulating for the first time?  Yes or no?

Because right now I’m beginning to think that even if the guy pulls it out and gets the Democrat nomination he’s still too dinged up to pull off a national victory.

You should at least have the decency to see that my argument was valid.

And I have certainly gone to great pains to point out those few previous instances when I believed you to be correct

Indeed you have.  And it is because of that I have given you credit on many occasion.  But lately, you have been piling on with the rest of the crew who are failing to see a reasonable argument.

People from this site don’t see Robs post as we do, because they largely agree with him and don’t see the little things, like this, that matter to us.

Because to a newcomer, it looks like Rob is being fair and weighing in on the current events.  But as we know, he has made up his mind on this subject months ago.  He couldn’t possibly be “beginning to think” that Obama might loose this.

Surely you can agree.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 12:27 pm

Arrgh, why are you guys wasting your time on that Insannitized creep?


You don’t have to be a moron to be a liberal Democrat but it sure helps.

docdave on May 6, 2008 at 12:28 pm
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He couldn’t possibly be “beginning to think” that Obama might loose (sic) this.

“I’m beginning to think...” is a figure of speech and hence, not always to be taken literally.

If I said, I’m beginning to think that the Kahuna of the Kiddie Pool is wound a little too tightly, would anyone other than a complete moron think that it just barely occurred to me?
Han-job: Did you ever stop to think, and then forget to start again? Seems like it! Heh.



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 12:35 pm

Isn’t it about time for a change of subject and a surf report?


Out Here
Rodney G. Graves

Ceterum censeo Parthia esse delendam
Latin: “Furthermore, Parthia (Persia aka modern day Iran) should be destroyed.”

Rodney Graves on May 6, 2008 at 12:37 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

Arrgh, why are you guys wasting your time on that Insannitized creep?

Oh Doc, does it irritate you that logical people distract you from your concentration in your right wing circle jerk?

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 12:40 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

“I’m beginning to think...” is a figure of speech and hence, not always to be taken literally.

Of course!  Why didn’t is see this proofreader?  Yes....yes....this makes perfect sense.  Rob was using a figure of speech.....i get it now.

And thus, proof exemplifies the right-wing blogosphere in one fell swoop.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 12:43 pm
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You wont (sic) answer that because you know that you were off on so many levels you don’t wan’t (sic) to go stepping on all the land mines you dropped.  And I don’t mean land mines in the traditional sense.  I mean the kind that are left steaming after you squatted and dropped them on this poopy post.

That kind of logic, Han-job?


Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 12:47 pm
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More logic from the logic impaired:

Yes, I struck first with Rob because he lies all the time...!

Preemptive lying. Why wait for your opponent to actually tell a lie, when you know he will anyway, so call him a liar before he has the chance!

A little more chlorine in the Kiddie Pool next time, perhaps?



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 12:57 pm
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Rob was using a figure of speech.....i (sic) get it now.

I sincerely doubt it! We’d all benefit if you ever began to think!



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 01:00 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

Republican response:

Ad Hominem

more....ad hominem

lots more....ad hominem

Thats about par for the course.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 01:16 pm

Eunichized whines:

Ad Hominem

more....ad hominem

lots more....ad hominem

Damn that shoe pinches when it’s on his foot…


Out Here
Rodney G. Graves

Ceterum censeo Parthia esse delendam
Latin: “Furthermore, Parthia (Persia aka modern day Iran) should be destroyed.”

Rodney Graves on May 6, 2008 at 01:26 pm

Obama’s friend’s response: “God Damn America”.

More “God Damn America”.

More.

A lot more.

That’s about par for the course for the Obama supporting liberals who hate America.

Obama is toast. America won’t elect him.

likwidshoe on May 6, 2008 at 01:30 pm
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Thats (sic) about par for the course.

Translation: Wah!



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 01:32 pm
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What Hannitized calls “ad hominem” is what others call:

“Quoting you correctly!”



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 01:34 pm

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Flipper John’s good friend


“If a conservative is still a republican after the last 13 years, he is blind to the fact that his party of choice has failed him utterly.” – Realitybasedbob


realitybasedbob's signature
realitybasedbob on May 6, 2008 at 01:47 pm

McCain has been criticized by conservatives as being too liberal. As “realitybased"(but not too often)bob shows, McCain is liberal in more ways than one.

The question becomes - just who does bob think he is fooling? McCain is too liberal. We already get it. He’s too much like you bob. That’s why conservatives don’t really like him.

likwidshoe on May 6, 2008 at 01:57 pm
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Again, Huff Po Bob has no defense for the Obamarama and his bigoted pastor Wright, so he gratuitously attacks John McCain. Heh.



Trolls. It’s what’s for breakfast!
And then I eat their lunch.

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Proof on May 6, 2008 at 02:00 pm

Likwidshoe: RBB loves you. Do you love him?  smile


"Here lies, in honored glory, an American soldier, known but to God.”

“Glory is not a conceit. It is not a decoration for valor. Glory belongs to the act of being constant to something greater than yourself, to a cause, to your principles, to the people on whom you rely, and who rely on you in return.”
Senator John McCain, Faith of Our fathers

pparets on May 6, 2008 at 02:03 pm

Likwidshoe: RBB loves you. Do you love him?

I doubt it. Through all of his bullshit though, I do like the guy. We’ve been talking for years.

You take away his stupid politics and he’s not a bad guy. I hope he feels the same way.

likwidshoe on May 6, 2008 at 02:08 pm

I love you shoe, do you love me?


“If a conservative is still a republican after the last 13 years, he is blind to the fact that his party of choice has failed him utterly.” – Realitybasedbob


realitybasedbob's signature
realitybasedbob on May 6, 2008 at 02:12 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

That’s about par for the course for the Obama supporting liberals who hate America.

I suppose it is easy to understand your opponents when you have to create them from figments of your imagination.  It must be a warm and fuzzy place in that world.

Tell me again Liqwid, how much I hate America.  It really impresses me when you demonstrate your intellect like that.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 02:14 pm
Avatar for Hannitized
Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 04:17 pm

Oh, come on now, Hannitized.  Are we a little peevish tonight?


"Here lies, in honored glory, an American soldier, known but to God.”

“Glory is not a conceit. It is not a decoration for valor. Glory belongs to the act of being constant to something greater than yourself, to a cause, to your principles, to the people on whom you rely, and who rely on you in return.”
Senator John McCain, Faith of Our fathers

pparets on May 6, 2008 at 04:24 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

Pparets,

I think we both know who set the bar.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 04:31 pm

pparets,

then again, who really cares about the deep political insights of someone who makes their living from memorizing lines and emoting them?


Out Here
Rodney G. Graves

Ceterum censeo Parthia esse delendam
Latin: “Furthermore, Parthia (Persia aka modern day Iran) should be destroyed.”

Rodney Graves on May 6, 2008 at 05:24 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

then again, who really cares about the deep political insights of someone who makes their living from memorizing lines and emoting them?

You should be more respectful to President Bush.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 05:53 pm

Eunichized,

You should confine yourself to topics on which you have a clue.  How was the surf today?


Out Here
Rodney G. Graves

Ceterum censeo Parthia esse delendam
Latin: “Furthermore, Parthia (Persia aka modern day Iran) should be destroyed.”

Rodney Graves on May 6, 2008 at 06:12 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

Tell me again how Persia should be destoyed beardsley.

Hannitized on May 6, 2008 at 09:49 pm

Eunichized the beardless child,

explain to me again why Persia should not be destroyed.

I already made my case.  Quarre Persia Delenda Est


Out Here
Rodney G. Graves

Ceterum censeo Parthia esse delendam
Latin: “Furthermore, Parthia (Persia aka modern day Iran) should be destroyed.”

Rodney Graves on May 7, 2008 at 04:49 pm
Avatar for Hannitized

Beardsley,

First, an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities would create the climate for full blown war in the entire ME.  Additionally, there is new data from a NIE report (of all places) that suggest there is no credible evidence that supports a conclusion that Iran is pursuing nuclear bomb.  Reports state that Iran stopped its enrichment program in 06 and not restarted it.

A strike on Iran could set back US interests in the region of which are a great many.  There is also a much greater chance for retaliation from not only terrorists around the world but on our economic interests world wide.

Some things which it seems you havent considered, Rodney, is that Iran has a much larger population than our most recent disaster, Iraq.  Attempting to keep military operations down to a minimum would not be as easy as it was in Saddams dessert.

If you combine the three campaigns in AF, Iraq and then Iran....our military resources are going to be stretched to the limit and it will require a draft.  The draft will negatively impact how effective our military will operate.

I think it safe to say that both Hezbollah and Hamas would become much more active in their efforts against their enemies (such as Isreal and Lebanon) and set the stage for WWIII.  Not to mention that it could be likely that both of those organizations could turn their focus on us.

I happen to think that as nasty as Iran is, they are still one of our great hopes for creating a democracy in the region as much of its younger generation are more likely to be positive on US relations (at least prior to our invasion of Iraq) and promise more diplomatic relations, that could lead to more security in the ME.

We need their help in ensuring that Iraq maintains some sort of semblance.  Even though they are also part of the problem, they are also a stabilizing force whether we admit it or not.

Hannitized on May 7, 2008 at 06:02 pm

Han,
You can’t let a country that has proven it will foment conflict on it’s neighbors, have a weapon as devasting in the long term. (radiation half life) When Quadafi did the Pam Am thing and was making noises, Reagan took out his main tent and some of his family. End of problem

I was taken in the very last round of the lottery in Vietnam. Draftees disignation were “US”, enlistees were “RA”. Uncle Sam’s...Regular Army. I can assure you from experience, the draftees fought as hard and as well as the enlistees.

As for a ME war, there’s only 3 or 4 countries with bigtime munitions and delivery platforms that would have a dog in the hunt. And they, other than perhaps Syria, know how devastating a war with long range missles, fighters and bombers would be. The rest of the countries would be like hezzbollah and humas, not really effective long range.

These people years ago used to cut off their enemies heads and play soccor with them. They are not reasonable people.

As long as the religous fanatics are in charge, I don’t believe any effective peace can be achieved. Remember they want the entire world converted to Islam. Every man, woman, and child. And it is their charge from their God to accomplish this. The only thing they understand, and will
stop them is strength.

I think Jordon and Egypt are the stabilizing forces. They have armaments, but they don’t use them. Iran and Syria are the one’s that have to be kept down. The rest of the factions have small arms and inaccurate, short range missles. And only Iran and Syria are supplying them.

That’s my opinion. Of course I could be wrong.

By the way, I voted for Bush, but would not again. However, managed properly, I think a draft would be a good idea. I met and became friends with people from walks of life I would never have know otherwise. But no draft just to start another war. There was and if you listen to the
troops, there is now a camaradarie that we don’t really have in civilian society. And we could use it. Look at
Congress, they are like animals.


Why pay the price for telling the truth, when lying don’t cost nuthin’ -Mohair Sam

Mohair Sam on May 7, 2008 at 06:54 pm
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