Newsweek: We Need A New President
In Newsweek, which normally has a reliably leftward cant to its reporting and editorial positions, Niall Ferguson is making the case for a different president.
[T]he total number of private-sector jobs is still 4.3 million below the January 2008 peak. Meanwhile, since 2008, a staggering 3.6 million Americans have been added to Social Security’s disability insurance program. This is one of many ways unemployment is being concealed.
In his fiscal year 2010 budget—the first he presented—the president envisaged growth of 3.2 percent in 2010, 4.0 percent in 2011, 4.6 percent in 2012. The actual numbers were 2.4 percent in 2010 and 1.8 percent in 2011; few forecasters now expect it to be much above 2.3 percent this year.
Unemployment was supposed to be 6 percent by now. It has averaged 8.2 percent this year so far. Meanwhile real median annual household income has dropped more than 5 percent since June 2009. Nearly 110 million individuals received a welfare benefit in 2011, mostly Medicaid or food stamps.
Welcome to Obama’s America: nearly half the population is not represented on a taxable return—almost exactly the same proportion that lives in a household where at least one member receives some type of government benefit. We are becoming the 50–50 nation—half of us paying the taxes, the other half receiving the benefits.
And all this despite a far bigger hike in the federal debt than we were promised. According to the 2010 budget, the debt in public hands was supposed to fall in relation to GDP from 67 percent in 2010 to less than 66 percent this year. If only. By the end of this year, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), it will reach 70 percent of GDP. These figures significantly understate the debt problem, however. The ratio that matters is debt to revenue. That number has leapt upward from 165 percent in 2008 to 262 percent this year, according to figures from the International Monetary Fund. Among developed economies, only Ireland and Spain have seen a bigger deterioration.
Ferguson also had kind words for Romney’s Vice Presidential pick Paul Ryan:
He is one of only a handful of politicians in Washington who is truly sincere about addressing this country’s fiscal crisis….But one thing is clear. Ryan psychs Obama out. This has been apparent ever since the White House went on the offensive against Ryan in the spring of last year. And the reason he psychs him out is that, unlike Obama, Ryan has a plan—as opposed to a narrative—for this country. …
The voters now face a stark choice. They can let Barack Obama’s rambling, solipsistic narrative continue until they find themselves living in some American version of Europe, with low growth, high unemployment, even higher debt—and real geopolitical decline.
Or they can opt for real change: the kind of change that will end four years of economic underperformance, stop the terrifying accumulation of debt, and reestablish a secure fiscal foundation for American national security.
I don’t think the Romney/Ryan ticket is a solution for what ails America. Even Ryan’s infamous budget, castigated by Democrats and their surrogates as extremism, doesn’t put us on a trajectory to balance the budget within the next two decades.
But the Romney/Ryan ticket is a step back from the cliff. A vote for Romney/Ryan over Obama is a vote for acknowledging the problems this nation faces like adults as opposed to letting the pie-throwing children continue to run the nation.
Obama can’t fix what ails America because Obama believes what ails America – crippling debt, a weak economy and a growing underclass of government dependents – aren’t such bad things.Tags: Barack Obama, mitt romney, paul ryan