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Monday, October 29, 2007

Huckabee On A Roll?

Apparently, Huckabee is in second place in a straw poll in Iowa, right behind Mitt Romney.  This is supposed to be big news because Huckabee has reached that position despite spending 1/25th of what Romney has spent ($1.7 million versus $53.6 million).

Frankly, I’m not terribly impressed.  Local primary straw polls are notoriously easy to manipulate.  One bus full of sign-waving supporters for one candidate or another is more than enough to sway them, usually.  Huckabee consistently finishes behind Thompson, Giuliani, Romney and McCain in national polling, and while he’s topping McCain and pulling even with Romney occasionally of late, only placing their money on this guy to get the nomination is a fool.

The only reason Huckabee is seeing the success he is lays with the fact that he’s the sentimental favorite of the evangelicals turned off by Romney’s Mormonism, Giuliani’s social liberalism and Fred Thompson’s relative agnosticism.  But the conservative movement is made up of more than just evangelicals, and Huckabee hasn’t done much to make libertarian-minded conservatives, or even fiscally-minded conservatives, sit up and take notice.  He’s got a record as a tax hiker which is becoming increasingly difficult to shake, he supports a national smoking ban which puts the anti-nanny staters’ collective teeth on edge, and in a Wall Street Journal editorial published today he attempts to defend himself from criticism of Journal columnist John Fund and digs himself an even deeper hole by supporting the expansion of government entitlements:

One of my proudest achievements as governor was signing legislation creating ARKids First--creating health insurance coverage for more than 70,000 Arkansas children who otherwise might have gone without. I am firmly committed to finding a way to provide health care and a better education for America’s children, who hold the key to our nation’s future. Unfortunately, there seems to be a serious misunderstanding about my State Children Health Insurance Program comment at a recent presidential debate.

I was not criticizing President Bush’s veto as a matter of policy, but as a matter of politics. I fully believe that Mr. Bush should have negotiated a compromise and not let it get to the point of a veto. Mr. Bush indicated he was willing to spend more than the $5 billion he originally proposed, but less than the $35 billion the Democrats pushed through, so there was clearly room to negotiate. In no way do I support spending an additional $35 billion, or moving two million children from private insurance to government insurance, or letting Schip be a step on the path to socialized medicine.

The problem fiscal conservatives like me have with compromises like the one Huckabee describes is that they still result in the expansion of government.  Huckabee is in favor of expanding SCHIP despite such an expansion not being needed.

This is the sort of Republicanism we need to avoid.  Huckabee has his good points, but there are better candidates in the field.

Comments

Avatar for Bill Mitchell

Saying “Huckabee is on a roll and right behind Romney” is like saying the Redskins “almost beat” the Patriots this Sunday because they scored a touchdown in the last 3 minutes.

Huckabee is trailing Romney by 23 points in his latest “surge” poll.  That’s somewhere between “you gotta be kidding” and “no chance in hell”.

Huckabee is trailing by an average of 15 points in all 5 of the early primary states.  The MSM loves to promote him as if he is a real contender because they KNOW he would have NO SHOT against Hillary.

He is a nice guy, but Presidential?  Sorry, that’s funny.  I’d vote for him for Pastor though.

Here is my rating of who is the most “Presidential” among the Republicans:

1. Tie between Romney (for his bearing) and Rudy (for his toughness).
2. Thompson - well, he looked like a President on TV anyway.
3. McCain - If you like your Presidents old and ill, he’s perfect.
4. Huckabee - God help him, who could ever take a “President Huckabee” seriously?  Maybe he can find a running mate with the last name “Gee-golly-ma’am”.

Bill Mitchell on October 29, 2007 at 07:12 pm
Avatar for Bill Mitchell

P.S., Can we PLEASE stop even mentioning NATIONAL POLLS when it comes to the Primary Races?

They DO NOT MATTER.  PERIOD.  Bill Clinton (and many other eventual winners) where polling under 13% nationally when the first Primary was held.

Fred-Heads love the national polls because they make it look like he has a shot, but I promise you, if he loses as big in NH and Iowa as it looks like he will, the Thompson Campaign will be a minor footnote.

Bill Mitchell on October 29, 2007 at 07:19 pm
Rob
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Right.  Because New Hampshire and Iowa should determine who the flippin’ candidate is.

What a joke.


When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.

-- Thomas Jefferson

Rob’s recently listened-to songs:

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Rob on October 29, 2007 at 07:23 pm
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They DO NOT MATTER.  PERIOD. 

Billy! Don’t pop an aneurism! You don’t have to shout! It’s not like someone was reminding you of how heroic John McCain was in Viet Nam!
(Did I mention that John McCain was a war hero? )



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on October 29, 2007 at 08:08 pm
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Proof,

Would you resort to torturing a terrorist if it meant saving your wife and child who would surely die in the next hour if you don’t get the terrorist to talk?

Oh, and to make it easy for you, we’ll define “torture” in this case as giving them painful electric shocks.  I think we can all agree that that would be torture.

So would you do it to save your loved one’s from certain death?

Still waiting for an answer.  Been waiting for a week.  A simple yes or no would suffice.

Ok, everyone, get ready as Proof will be INCAPABLE of giving me a straight answer.  He will accuse me of “confusing the issue” or “trying to change the subject”.

But as you all can see, I just asked him a simple question an 8 year old could understand.

But, he won’t answer it ‘yes’ or ‘no’.  He is incapable.  Wait and watch, it’s positively amusing.

Bill Mitchell on October 29, 2007 at 08:21 pm

Would you resort to torturing a terrorist if it meant saving your wife and child who would surely die in the next hour if you don’t get the terrorist to talk?

Of course.  As I have posted many times, terrorists have NO rights and can be subjected to what ever measures are necessary to get intelligence data from them.  After that they should be hanged or shot.


The Supreme Court is a bunch of black robed tyrants

docdave on October 29, 2007 at 09:34 pm
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docdave,

Yep. It’s an easy question, but ole Proof there refuses to asnwer.

Bill Mitchell on October 29, 2007 at 09:40 pm

mitch, don’t get your tail in a knot over this issue.  A blog is a general forum where anyone can post a comment or NOT post a comment as they choose.  If you want to discuss something with only one person, sending a private message to them is more appropriate.


The Supreme Court is a bunch of black robed tyrants

docdave on October 29, 2007 at 09:48 pm
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Yep. It’s an easy question, but ole Proof there refuses to asnwer.

Bill: I knew your ADD would kick in! I answered it on the other thread, but you’re too lazy/dumb/busy playing with yourself to check it out.

What a maroon!



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on October 30, 2007 at 03:32 am
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Been waiting for a week.

Time moves differently on your planet, Bill?


For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on October 30, 2007 at 03:35 am
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Okay, Bill: Here’s a question I’ve been waiting for over a week (not an imaginary Billy ADD Mitchell several hour week!), but since your ADD addled mind has trouble remembering things: After having been presented with evidence that John McCain was actually a war hero, you continued to maintain your anti-war hero slur and have presented NO evidence to the contrary! Why is that?



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on October 30, 2007 at 03:53 am
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(Crickets chirp.)



For any voter trying to choose between the two candidates for commander in chief, there is no better test than this: When American strategy in a critical theater was up for grabs, John McCain proposed a highly unpopular and risky path, which he accurately predicted could lead to success. Barack Obama proposed a popular and politically safe route that would have led to an unnecessary and debilitating American defeat at the hands of al Qaeda.

Frederick W. Kagan

Proof on October 30, 2007 at 03:54 am
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