Say Anything Blog

Trying to figure the democrat primaries and general election at this point is well beyond my scope. Too many players, too many geographic, and social issues spread throughout the country.
In South Carolina, blacks made up about one third of the population, but turn out in high numbers of eligible voters on election day. I read a article in The State newspaper that a general election with historic average turnout of black and white voters, a democrat could win a state wide election with only 38 percent of the white vote(blacks have voted and will probably continue to vote for democrats at a 95 percent rate). I would suspect that the blacks may have even more of an influence in the primaries because they seem to turn out in much larger numbers, while many white voters don’t bother to vote in the primaries.
So, go figure, the Clinton’s need to wrap up a primary win and buying it is something they do a lot easier than standing up in front of people and try to be honest. Just take a look at Hillary’s public(?) appearances in SC.
They can buy an election because the blacks will rally around their leaders and vote in blocs to maximize their political influence. And don’t sell the black politicians in SC short. If you look at the Democrat party in SC and see a lot of white faces in the party leadership, it is really the black elected officials who can make or break them at the ballot box. In the two houses in the SC legislature, blacks make up 40 percent and 50 percent of the elected democrat legislators. The Republicans hold more than a very comfortable margin in both houses. Get those black democrats in your tent pissing out, instead of on the outside pissing in, and you will probably be successful.
Might be money well spent.
Historical note - Al Sharpton got 13 percent in the 2004 democrat primary here. I could see Obama getting a lot more, and in a crowded field, who knows.

Correction - Al Sharpton received approximately 10 per cent of the vote in the 2004 SC Democrat Presidential primary. The five minor candidates(Sharpton, Braun, Kucinich, Lieberman, and Sharpton) received a total of approximately 13 per cent.
John Edwards received the most votes with 45 percent. IF Edwards gets his act together and stops gnawing off his feet, he could also present a problem for Hillary. It could come down to a decision based on color, geography(Edwards - SC/NC connection), and sex.
Obama and Edwards could deny Hillary a clear cut majority in the presidential primary in SC.