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Tuesday, October 23, 2007


Giuliani No Longer The Apparent GOP Nominee

Fred and Rudy are running neck and neck.

The perception that Rudy Giuliani is the most electable Republican may be slipping a bit.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 66% of Republicans believe that Giuliani at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That’s down from 72% a month ago.

Sixty-one percent (61%) of Republican voters now say that Fred Thompson is at least somewhat likely to win in nominated. That’s up from 57% last month.

The gap between Giuliani and Thompson virtually disappears at a higher level of confidence—23% of Republican voters say that Giuliani is Very Likely to win if nominated while 22% say the same about Thompson.

What’s particularly interesting is that when Thompson and Giuliani are matched up, respectively, against the most likely Democrat nominee the results (which aren’t linkable on Rasmussen’s site, unfortunately) are nearly indistinguishable.

Thompson vs. Clinton

Thompson: 44
Clinton: 44

Giuliani vs. Clinton

Giuliani: 45
Clinton: 43

By the way, Romney gets thumped by Hillary is this match up 48 - 36.

I’ve heard a lot of Republicans talking about how Giuliani is the most “electable” candidate in the GOP field.  I don’t think that’s true, and I think Republicans are waking up to that fact.  Fred holds his own just as much as Giuliani does in a head-to-head match up with the top Democrat in the field, plus he doesn’t come with Giuliani’s negatives.  Like being pro-choice and having a long history of being in favor of gun control.  Not to mention multiple nasty divorces, and this.

And this too.

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