Florida Governor Charlie Crist Considering Leaving Republican Party, Running As An Independent
If he does he’ll do so ahead of polls indicating that the Republican primary was unwinnable for him given the strong challenge he was facing from conservative star Marco Rubio.
Two highly placed and independent sources, speaking strictly on background, tell me that Gov. Charlie Crist is preparing to leave the Republican Party and run as an independent in the race for the U.S. Senate. …
Another well-placed source tells me the reason several Crist campaign staffers left recently is because, being committed Republicans, they refused to take part in an independent Senate run by Crist. That’s not confirmed by an independent second source, but it does ring true.
Now, reports from anonymous sources are sometimes wrong, so I have stopped short of reporting a Crist independent run as a verifiable fact, even though I believe my sources are accurate.
A lot of people might be tempted to compare this situation to Lieberman, and at first blush that comparison doesn’t bode well for Rubio. After all, Lieberman faced a challenge from the left. He left the Democrat party, ran as an independent, and won his race anyway.
Crist is facing a challenge from the right, but I’m not sure the outcome would be the same for him if he ran as an independent. Florida is a swing state. Connecticut is a solidly blue state. The Lieberman/Lamont race was a two-way race as Connecticut is so blue the Republican candidate was a non-entity in the race.
That’s not likely to be the case in Florida, where a three-way race would develop between Crist, Rubio and whoever the Democrat candidate might be.
If that came to be, Crist running as an independent would almost undoubtedly result in electing the Democrat as the center-right vote would be split between Rubio and Crist with the Democrat getting all of the center-left and liberal vote.



