Dems Deserting Obama – McCain Opens 5 Point Lead

The Whistler • August 20, 2008

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.
McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama’s solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.
The reversal follows a month of attacks by McCain, who has questioned Obama’s experience, criticized his opposition to most new offshore oil drilling and mocked his overseas trip…
McCain now has a 9-point edge, 49 percent to 40 percent, over Obama on the critical question of who would be the best manager of the economy — an issue nearly half of voters said was their top concern in the November 4 presidential election.
That margin reversed Obama’s 4-point edge last month on the economy over McCain, an Arizona senator and former Vietnam prisoner of war who has admitted a lack of economic expertise and shows far greater interest in foreign and military policy.
McCain has been on the offensive against Obama during the last month over energy concerns, with polls showing strong majorities supporting his call for an expansion of offshore oil drilling as gasoline prices hover near $4 a gallon.
Obama had opposed new offshore drilling, but said recently he would support a limited expansion as part of a comprehensive energy program.
That was one of several recent policy shifts for Obama, as he positions himself for the general election battle. But Zogby said the changes could be taking a toll on Obama’s support, particularly among Democrats and self-described liberals.
“That hairline difference between nuance and what appears to be flip-flopping is hurting him with liberal voters,” Zogby said.
Obama’s support among Democrats fell 9 percentage points this month to 74 percent, while McCain has the backing of 81 percent of Republicans.

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http://proof-proofpositive.blogspot.com/ proof_positive

B1: Great cartoon on the front page!
Jay

Oh yeah, I forgot, the liberal media conspiracy again. When all else fails, don the tin hat.
Bill Mitchell

Jay,

It is NOT to be trusted. They heavily skew the sample to the Left. That’s why this poll is even scarier than it appears for Obama.

Get a clue.
Jay

Wasn’t this the poll that you guys said was not to be trusted when Obama had a 7-point lead before July? You guys crack me up.
Bill Mitchell

Well, here’s the problem for Obama. Historically, the Conservative Candidate tends to surge into the close. This is especially true when we are facing scaring times on the International front. The Russia bit just keeps getting worse.

So will America put a complete neophyte in charge with Russia waggling their saber? Unlikely.

Also, in many of the blue states where Obama has a lead, that lead is suprisingly small. The momentum is all McCain’s here and could result, unless there is some massive gaff by the McCain Camp in a landslide victory for McCain.

If I was in the Obama camp, I would be very nervous right now.
http://ndgoon.blogspot.com/ goon

Yeah it only looks better and better for McCain, Obama is not looking good to the people in the states that cling to their guns and religion.
Bill Mitchell

I think that what you are seeing here is the people who didn’t really KNOW Obama and were sort of attributing all their hopes and dreams for “change” to him.

Now that they are seeing he is more of an empty suit, they are losing faith. I know the Dems had hoped to short-circuit the Republican nomination by having cross-over voters in open primaries vote for McCain, but in so doing they have actually given us a candidate who now appeals to the moderate undecided’s who are deserting Obama.

Once again, the left is too smart by half and shoots themselves in the foot.
carrick

For whatever it’s worth, I don’t trust this poll.

Rasmussen, who I do trust, has it in a dead heat. But if you look at the current real clear politics state-by-state average, McCain is ahead right now in the electoral college. That would be expected in a tight race like this, because Obama picks up part of his majority from urban states, but the electoral college system weights rural states more heavily.
Neiman

Wait, you’ll never grow broke underestimating the American voter; Obama is far from dead and this race far from over! I don’t want Hussein Obama as POTUS, but the America voters are a fickle bunch!
http://sayanythingblog.com robport

Wasn’t this the poll that you guys said was not to be trusted when Obama had a 7-point lead before July?

I don’t think I said any such thing Jay, so that’s a pretty broad accusation to throw out there. Especially when not substantiated. But your outrage at the fact that anyone would dare suggest your Messiah is losing is duly noted.

As for this poll’s veracity, I’d note that there are really only two polls I tend to trust: The Rasmussen daily poll and the Gallup daily poll. And usually they’re pretty close to one another.

But it should also be noted that generally, unless it’s right before an election when pollsters have a lot of incentive to get things right, these polls tend to heavily oversample liberals.

SayAnythingBlog.com

Dems Deserting Obama – McCain Opens 5 Point Lead

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