Can Obama Win In North Dakota?
A rather irritating line of argument from the left these days is about Obama’s appeal in “red states.” Supposedly this shows that Obama has broad mainstream appeal and isn’t just a one-term Senator with the most liberal ranking in Congress and a 20 year history of teaming up with radicals like Rev. Jeremiah “God Damn America” wright and Weather Underground terrorist William Ayers.
Lately my home state of North Dakota, which hasn’t voted for a Democrat for President since Lyndon Johnson, has been thrown around as a state where Obama can beat McCain. Is this true? Obama and his disciples no doubt want you to think it’s true, but I have my doubts.
Looking at the history of one poll, for example, shows us that while Obama started off with a somewhat surprising lead in North Dakota he trend looks anything but positive for him.
In November 2007 Obama polled at 46% and McCain at 42% in a head-to-head matchup. In March the numbers were nearly identical.
But now that North Dakotans have gotten to know Obama a bit better? His numbers have slipped to 43%, or a dead heat with McCain.
What’s more, 45% of respondents in that poll said Obama was too inexperienced to be President and InTrade (perhaps the most accurate predictor of political outcomes) has McCain leading Obama 73 to 27.
So, again, will Obama win North Dakota? Obama’s disciples would like you to believe that because it fits in perfectly with the Messiah’s 50 state strategy, but the reality is that North Dakota will once again vote Republican for President just as it has every time but three since 1916.
