Can Obama Win In North Dakota?

A rather irritating line of argument from the left these days is about Obama’s appeal in “red states.” Supposedly this shows that Obama has broad mainstream appeal and isn’t just a one-term Senator with the most liberal ranking in Congress and a 20 year history of teaming up with radicals like Rev. Jeremiah “God Damn America” wright and Weather Underground terrorist William Ayers.
Lately my home state of North Dakota, which hasn’t voted for a Democrat for President since Lyndon Johnson, has been thrown around as a state where Obama can beat McCain. Is this true? Obama and his disciples no doubt want you to think it’s true, but I have my doubts.
Looking at the history of one poll, for example, shows us that while Obama started off with a somewhat surprising lead in North Dakota he trend looks anything but positive for him.
In November 2007 Obama polled at 46% and McCain at 42% in a head-to-head matchup. In March the numbers were nearly identical.
But now that North Dakotans have gotten to know Obama a bit better? His numbers have slipped to 43%, or a dead heat with McCain.
What’s more, 45% of respondents in that poll said Obama was too inexperienced to be President and InTrade (perhaps the most accurate predictor of political outcomes) has McCain leading Obama 73 to 27.
So, again, will Obama win North Dakota? Obama’s disciples would like you to believe that because it fits in perfectly with the Messiah’s 50 state strategy, but the reality is that North Dakota will once again vote Republican for President just as it has every time but three since 1916.

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  • http://Array Chris

    If you voted for George Jr. Which you clearly have most likey twice, your judgement is clearly lacking and I can understand thouwhy you would think that Obama is the wrong choice. But it is said that Obama actually care about your more then you’re own boy McCain and his moose skining Vp Choice.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/readers/author/realitybasedbob/ realitybasedbob

    The opening of the state offices offers opportunities to reach out to and listen to voters, said Dan Hannaher, a senior North Dakota adviser for the campaign.

    About 50 staffers will work with volunteers throughout the state to do phone and door-to-door campaigning on Obama’s behalf, he said.

    “It’s unprecedented from my experience, the commitment and the fervor of this campaign,” Hannaher said.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com/readers/author/realitybasedbob/ realitybasedbob

    If a lot of college-age voters show up to cast their ballot for the Chosen One, then they may also influence legislative and other races in their districts. That could hurt the Republicans in those areas.

    I imagine you missed the “will of the people” question on your test, huh, whatha?

    So did gop moneybags Paul Weyrich.

    You should get in touch with him and talk about, oh I don’t know, our constitution…

  • http://goddesscassandra.blogspot.com/ Antigone

    I’m not sure I’d call most college voters, walking around in their Che shirts never having worked a day in their lives, well informed.

    How on earth can someone go to college in this day and age and NOT have a job? One of the reasons that Obama is polling so well among them is that he is addressing the tuition crunch. McCain’s solution to tuition problems? Longer stays in the military.

  • patriot

    The ND Delegation would love to think the state will go Blue – after all, someone votes them in year after year, right?

    However, I’m with Rob, cooler heads will prevail and NDakotans will be called “racist” along with everyone else when the state goes for McCain.

  • WhatTha?

    What’s scary is that Obama has 50 PAID STAFF persons in North Dakota right now! Has there ever been a presidential candidate, Democrat or Republican, with that many people hired to work for them in this state? I doubt it.

    While it’s still a stretch that The Messiah can win here, I think the influx of his minions will hurt in elections down the ballot. If a lot of college-age voters show up to cast their ballot for the Chosen One, then they may also influence legislative and other races in their districts. That could hurt the Republicans in those areas.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com robport

    I think Obama has gotten high marks in ND because he’s paid more attention to the state than the Republicans have.

    But eventually that will wear off. I don’t even think a lot of Republicans have paid enough attention to the Presidential race yet to have made up their minds. We political junkies have been following Obama since he popped onto the national stage in 2004, but your average Joe Sixpack is just learning to know who he is.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com robport

    I imagine you missed the “will of the people” question on your test, huh, whatha?

    I think the will of the people is fine when it’s well informed.

    I’m not sure I’d call most college voters, walking around in their Che shirts never having worked a day in their lives, well informed.

    What’s scary is that Obama has 50 PAID STAFF persons in North Dakota right now! Has there ever been a presidential candidate, Democrat or Republican, with that many people hired to work for them in this state? I doubt it.

    Where did you get that info about 50 staff? I’d be interested in confirming that.

    What will be interesting is to see just how long Obama can continue to afford that level of staffing in a state with just 3 electoral votes up for grabs. I don’t think his fund raising of late is what he’d like us to believe it is, and he’s spending money like there’s no tomorrow.

    Before election day I’d be surprised if he had even one staffer in ND. Maybe just someone to sit in his campaign office.

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