Arnold In Good Shape Come Nov. 8th
Being in the heart of California politics (Sacramento), I try to keep my blog updated with state issues. One you all have heard by now is the special election that Arnold has called for November 8th. A new survey is out, so I'm cross posting here to update as many people as possible on what's gonna happen come election day...
I linked to a Survey USA poll out two weeks ago that showed Arnold was in good shape going into the November 8th special election. Well, a new survey is out. Bottom line is the leads have shrunk, but he still is in good shape. I've written up a table to show what has happened in a visual-friendly manner.
Couple of quick things. First, on props 76 and 77, the yes vote didn't decrease as much as the "undecided" vote shifted pretty solidly into the "no" column between the two surveys. Second, the only proposition to GAIN momentum is the Parental Notification one which I have yet to see an ad for. The pro-73 camp spent almost every dollar they had gathering signatures so that it could go on the ballot and other than abortion-fanatic NUTS.... there isn't really anyone willing to come out publicly against this proposition.
I still feel pretty confident in Arnold's ability go get all 4 of the props he wants passed. The positive spread is very substantial and if he can manage to get such solid wins come election day, it will be a big V-I-C-T-O-R-Y for the People of California, Arnold, and the GOP (probably in that order). If he can pull off such a large victory come November 8th, it will only give him all the more leverage to use against the legislature come next year.
Go Arnold!
I linked to a Survey USA poll out two weeks ago that showed Arnold was in good shape going into the November 8th special election. Well, a new survey is out. Bottom line is the leads have shrunk, but he still is in good shape. I've written up a table to show what has happened in a visual-friendly manner.
| Proposition | Yes 10/18 | No 10/18 | Spread 10/18 | Yes 10/03 | No 10/03 | Spread 10/03 | Change 10/03 to 10/18 | 73 - Parental Notification | 60 | 38 | +22 | 59 | 39 | +20 | +2 |
| 74 - Teachers Tenure | 54 | 45 | +8 | 55 | 44 | +11 | -3 |
| 75 - Paycheck Protection | 56 | 42 | +14 | 60 | 37 | +23 | -9 |
| 76 - Live Within Your Means | 54 | 41 | +13 | 58 | 36 | +22 | -9 |
| 77 - Redistricting | 54 | 41 | +13 | 59 | 36 | +23 | -10 |
Couple of quick things. First, on props 76 and 77, the yes vote didn't decrease as much as the "undecided" vote shifted pretty solidly into the "no" column between the two surveys. Second, the only proposition to GAIN momentum is the Parental Notification one which I have yet to see an ad for. The pro-73 camp spent almost every dollar they had gathering signatures so that it could go on the ballot and other than abortion-fanatic NUTS.... there isn't really anyone willing to come out publicly against this proposition.
I still feel pretty confident in Arnold's ability go get all 4 of the props he wants passed. The positive spread is very substantial and if he can manage to get such solid wins come election day, it will be a big V-I-C-T-O-R-Y for the People of California, Arnold, and the GOP (probably in that order). If he can pull off such a large victory come November 8th, it will only give him all the more leverage to use against the legislature come next year.
Go Arnold!
ANTI-ISRAEL
Rodney Graves
DINO
jimmypop
Kevin
dawneyr
pparets
Proof
