Another Day Another Poll Showing Doug Hoffman In The Lead In New York 23

Looks like yesterday’s Club for Growth poll was no fluke. Another poll released today shows Hoffman leading not just the Republican candidate but the Democrat candidate as well.

A new poll of the NY-23 special election, conducted by the conservative Neighborhood Research and commissioned by the Minuteman PAC — which is supporting Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman — finds Hoffman in first place, and the moderate Republican Dede Scozzafava in third.
The numbers: Hoffman 34.1%, Democrat Bill Owens 29.2%, and Scozzafava 13.9%, with a ±4.8% margin of error. Among definite voters, it’s Hoffman 37.5%, Owens 28.4%, and Scozzafava 13.5%, with a ±5.6% margin of error.
Neighborhood Research head Rick Shaftan told TPM: “She’s [Scozzafava] going to end up in single digits and Hoffman is going to top 50%.”

Time and again liberals in both the Democrat and Republican parties have told us that the Republican party needs to move more to the center because conservative candidates can’t win.
And yet, here’s Hoffman. Winning.
Guess they were wrong.

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  • http://Array sayanything-51

    From the link:

    This runs contrary to independent polls, which have put Owens in first, Scozzafava second, and Hoffman third, while it’s consistent with a poll from the Club For Growth (which also supports Hoffman). Then again, special elections are notoriously difficult to poll, due to low turnout, so there’s really no telling what’s going to happen on election day next week.

  • sayanything-42

    Rob,

    Indeed, and the usual lefty panties are in the usual twist.

  • sayanything-51

    It’s a gop district.

    If the con or the wild outside chance the Dem wins, will this be the gop Waterloo in Watertown?

  • Name

    Two choices here:
    One of 2 liberals OR the conservative.
    I think Doug Hoffman can win this because the R & D are splitting the liberal vote and Doug should get the conservative vote. I predict Doug gets +40% of the vote.

  • http://sayanythingblog.com robport

    A fair point, Boob.

  • sayanything-6955

    Could be a hell of a sweep too, Christie, McDonnell, Hoffman and a very “RED” faced “O”bummer!

  • sayanything-4416

    Maybe you should wait until he wins before you declare victory.

    But wait, a republican might win in a republican district? Say it ain’t so! Why this is a bellwether for the entire country! Before you know it, conservatism will rule like it’s 1995!

    And a Minutemen PAC poll, yet! Can’t get more accurate than that.

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