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Tuesday, May 31, 2005

Abortion Stats Fraud

During the election last year and even in recent weeks many Democrats have referenced statistics indicating that abortions have gone up during Bush's term in the White House as evidence that his emphasis of abstinence education isn't working. Unfortunately for those Democrats, the statistics they were quoting are wildly inaccurate.

WASHINGTON, May 31, 2005 (LifeSiteNews.com) -- The Alan Guttmacher Institute (AGI) has published a new report which demonstrates that, contrary to several claims made in the last year, abortion rates in the US have continued their decline under the Bush administration. The AGI was founded in honour of a former Planned Parenthood president and therefore has no personal interest in proving Bush's pro-life policies to be successful.

Pro-abortion or anti-Bush politicians and activists have made a practice over the last several years of criticizing Bush's pro-life stance by 'demonstrating' that his pro-life policies have backfired. They claim that rather than continuing the downward trend of the last two decades, Bush's policies have caused the abortion rates to increase.

In the most audacious incident yet of this tactic Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean, in an appearance a few days ago on NBC's Meet the Press, said "You know that abortions have gone up 25 percent since George Bush was President?" John Kerry and Hilary Clinton, amongst others, have stated figures to the same effect.


Were it true, anything even approaching a 25% increase would be a catastrophic blow to Bush's policies, especially taking into account the steady downward trend in abortion rates since 1980. However, the AGI's analysis of the abortion data available for the 43 most reliable states proves that this statistic is thoroughly, even maliciously, false.

FactCheck.org, a University of Pennsylvania based, non-profit organization whose self-professed goal is to "reduce the level of deception and confusion in U.S. politics" has asked how this false statistic came to be circulated. They have traced its source to several opinion pieces by Glen Harold Stassen, printed in the Houston Chronicle and Sojourners, a Christian publication. In these articles Stassen claimed to have satisfactory statistical evidence to show that abortion rates were demonstrating a trend of increasing since Bush's election into office, and he called this trend 'disturbing'.

However, Stassen's research was flawed. His analysis had encompassed suspect data from a mere 16 states, several of which have unreliable abortion reporting methods. In fact, a portion of the data which Stassen cites out of national context in his original opinion piece was gathered from the AGI, the same institute which is currently contradicting his 'findings'. In a recent memo about the issue Stassen himself has admitted, regarding the AGI report, that "their results are significantly better than what I could have obtained seven months ago. I affirm their methods and their study, and am grateful for their effort."


Don't expect Dean, Clinton, Kerry or any of the other politicians who perpetuated this myth to come clean on the fact that they've been misleading the American public any time soon.

Comments

Avatar for Aaron

Don’t expect Dean, Clinton, Kerry or any of the other politicians who perpetuated this myth to come clean on the fact that they’ve been misleading the American public any time soon.

I’m really glad this came out.  I’ve been hearing Dean and other make this claim and it’s never made sense (that and they’ve never been able to back it up with any hard statistics...) other than this one guy.  Unfortunately, this “fact” that abortions have gone up so drastically under Bush is already accepted among the rank and file and it will probably take years to dispel this myth, if it’s possible at all…

Aaron on May 31, 2005 at 02:05 pm
Avatar for Joshua

Here’s where Hillary will take this. She will kick off a new campaign to curb the recent spike in abortions, thus making her look a little more moderate to the general public (though we all know she is an extremist through and through).

Without these bogus “facts” to justify her “outrage” she wouldn’t be able to pull off her little scheme, that’s why they’re planting these seeds now. I honestly think that Dean and Clinton are scheming to do this. I wish I could wager money on seeing Hillary Clinton on C-SPAN within the next 18 months declaring that we must end this “disturbing trend.” I’d even bet she’ll use the words “disturbing trend.” I don’t think this is a bash-Bush thing at all, that’s just a helpful by-product of.

“Hillary 2008” is in full campaign mode and the deception (necessary for her to have a chance) is already oozing out of her cold heart. Let’s hope that the American people are not gullible enough to buy her pack of lies.

Joshua on May 31, 2005 at 02:06 pm
Avatar for 2Hotel9

Planned Parenthood’s numbers have been showing a down trend in excess of the drop touted by other sources. Never see that in the MSM!

2Hotel9 on May 31, 2005 at 03:05 pm
Avatar for Aaron

Don, from the article above:

In the most audacious incident yet of this tactic Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean, in an appearance a few days ago on NBC’s Meet the Press, said “You know that abortions have gone up 25 percent since George Bush was President?â€? John Kerry and Hilary Clinton, amongst others, have stated figures to the same effect.

Answer your question or did you see that already...?

Aaron on May 31, 2005 at 03:05 pm
Avatar for Aaron

Btw, Don, I was bored and looked up the STD rate in America at the CDC’s website.  I found no STDs that reversed trends (if they were going up, they continued going up, if they were going down they continued going down) in the couple of years after Bush first took office (stats available through 2003 only).  Even if there were a change, how you’d pin it on Bush is beyond me…

Besides, everyone knows that the reason STDs are such a problem is this country is them dang fags and so Repups are the way to go to get rid of STDs.  Everyone knows the GOP is at war with fags and wants to wipe them the whole lot of them out, so vote GOP to reduce STDs........... right Don?

Aaron on May 31, 2005 at 03:06 pm
Avatar for Don Myers

Democrats have referenced statistics indicating that abortions have gone up during Bush’s term in the White House as evidence that his emphasis of abstinence education isn’t working.

Really? Where? ‘Cuz I haven’t seen it (altho give a Democrat a chance to shoot himself in the foot, and he’ll usually leap at it).

Unwanted pregnacies up? I’d believe that! STDs? Check and doublecheck! But considering the Bush regimes long record of limited abortion, forcing providers out of business, and taking cash from clinic bombers, an uptick in abortions doesn’t really have the ring of truth.

Don Myers on May 31, 2005 at 03:06 pm
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